There are many betting strategies that I use to try and make money with on Football. This first one is designed to be more of an investment strategy where the aim is to at least get your stake back so that you don’t lose. This is not a way of earning big returns, but should get you steady returns over the course of the season without too much trouble. The second one is designed to try and hit the “big win”. A low cost way of winning a big return.
The Investment Strategy
You pick 6 selections and they are divided into 3 groups…
2 x Bankers
2 x Premiums
2 x Tacticals
These are my names for them, don’t worry too much they’re used more for the ease of following my explanation than anything else.
The bet uses “points” to allocate the stakes and there is a total of 20 points each time this bet is used. A point can be used to determine how much you want to invest and in all instances should be the same amount e.g. if a point is £1 then the total amount is 20 x £1 = £20.
The idea is to find two teams that are as near to a “dead cert” as possible e.g. Chelsea or Man City or Celtic at home in the league.
These are the teams that are also expected to win but you look for a little bit more value on the prices, e.g. Wolves, Leicester, Rochdale. As with the Bankers, these teams must be playing at home – no aways.
These are your “gut feeling” type bets and anything goes, pick any team you like home or away. If you fancy Yeovil to beat QPR at Loftus Road then go for it !
Now we have picked out 6 teams, the betting strategy is as follows…
The 2 Bankers in a 10pts double
The 2 Bankers with 1 Premium in a 3pts treble
The 2 Bankers with the other Premium in a 3pts treble
The 2 Bankers with both Premiums in a 3pts fourfold
All six in an 1pt accumulator, including the tacticals.
As I said above the idea is to at least get the Bankers up so that you get your stake back and maybe a small profit. After that any further winners means that the profit just increases. This style of betting is more like an investment than anything else designed to keep your pot growing.
Banker – Arsenal 2/7 at home to Sunderland – Won
Banker – Manchester City 1/6 at home to Stoke City – Won
Premium – Derby County 8/11 at home to Bournemouth – Won
Premium – Leicester City 8/13 at home to Ipswich Town – Won
Tactical – West Ham United 2/1 at home to Souhampton – Won
Tactical – Brentford 11/5 (to draw) at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers – Lost
The Banker double returned £15.00
The Bankers and Derby in a treble returned £7.77
The Bankers and Leicester in a treble returned £7.27
The Bankers and the Premiums in a fourfold returned £12.56
(Based on 1 point = £1)
£20.00 was staked and there was a return of £42.60 which means that £22.60 profit was made. Imagine making around £20 profit 3 weekends a month throughout the season. I say 3 because this factors in the possibility of a loss once a month, if you can avoid losses then so much the better. If just the Bankers had won in the example above, then even though I lost I would still have had a return of £15.00 so I would not have lost all of my stake.
It does work if you are careful and stick to the rules i.e. only teams playing at home for the Bankers and Premiums. No matter how much you think a team playing away is a dead cert, stick it in the Tacticals.
My profit for the current season (2013/14) is £250.00 (1 point = £1) as at the end of March and I have never been in a loss situation. I’m hoping for £300 by the end of the season which will provide a nice bit of spending money for my holiday.
The Big One
This is a strategy that gives you the chance of a big win from a small investment. It is a lot harder to get a win on this, but if you combine this with the Banker Double from the above betting strategy, then that could pay this bet. Quite simply we are looking for a 10 team accumulator to come up to pay us a very nice return. Before you dismiss this, please bear with me and look through the way it works…
With 10 selections, there are 45 x eightfolds, 10 x ninefolds and 1 accumulator and which means there is a total of 56 bets but we don’t have to put big stakes on to these to get a big return. One way to do this is to have 10p on the eightfolds, 25p on the ninefolds and a £1 accumulator which adds up to a total stake of £8.00. Now it may surprise you but if we back 10 teams with odds of 4/6 then if 8 teams win the return if £5.95 and gives most of the stake money back. 9 winners pays £78.39 and a full house of 10 winners pays £681.37. You only need to get this accumulator up once to enjoy this bet.
Not all selections are going to be at odds of 4/6 and there may be times that you fancy a team with higher odds or even a draw. By adding in just 1 draw at odds of 5/2 the returns on 8 winners (including the draw) rises to £12.50, on 9 winners (including the draw) £158.07 and the accumulator rises to £1,344.65.
I recently placed a bet with the following odds;
1/6, 4/9, 4/11, 8/15, 23/20, 11/8, 7/5, 10/11, 1/3 and 4/7.
I didn’t win but the minimum return had I got 8 winners up would have been £3.03, for 9 winners would have been £59.24 and the accumulator would have been £730.21.
As I have mentioned already, getting 10 teams up in an accumulator is very hard to do, even getting 8 of the 10 is difficult, but we can increase the scope of this bet and chances of getting a return. The downside is that we will then have to rely on “bankers” and if any of them lose, then the whole bet goes down.
Using the above odds, if we select 4 of them as “bankers” (in red) then the numbers of bets gets reduced;
1/6, 4/9, 4/11, 8/15, 23/20, 11/8, 7/5, 10/11, 1/3 and 4/7.
This means that there are now just 15 x eightfolds, 6 x ninefolds and an accumulator with a total stake of £4.00 if we use the same stakes as above. Although there is more risk here, i.e. if one or more of the bankers loses, there is now scope to cover more permutations. If we add the following bets – 20 x 10p sevenfolds, 15 x 10p sixfolds and 6 x 10p fivefolds, the the total cost is £8.10. The return is lower, but there is now more chance of getting a return as only 5 winners are needed.
If we get 5 winners, then the minimum return on the above odds is £0.47
If we get 6 winners, then the minimum return on the above odds is £1.76
If we get 7 winners, then the minimum return on the above odds is £5.80
If we get 8 winners, then the minimum return on the above odds is £19.02
If we get 9 winners, then the minimum return on the above odds is £75.83
If we get 10 winners, then the minimum return on the above odds is £460.65
As can be seen, the accumulator still pays a very nice return and even 8 winners would put a smile on most people’s faces. The stakes on the permutations could be adjusted according to how much confidence there is in the teams being backed. For example, the sevenfolds stake could be raised to 20p making the total cost £10.10 and this in turn would raise the returns as long as there are at least 7 winners.
Some people have asked “what is a banker?” It is a selection that you think is very unlikely to lose.
In the “Big One” (above), there is reference to banker bets and when these are used together they basically act as 1 bet. For example, if you select 4 teams and make 2 of them bankers, it means that the 2 bankers will appear in every bet which means that there are 4 bets.
Double : Banker 1 + Banker 2
Treble 1 : Banker 1 + Banker 2 + Other Selection 1
Treble 2 : Banker 1 + Banker 2 + Other Selection 2
Fourfold : Banker 1 + Banker 2 + Other Selection 1 + Other Selection 2
If there are no bankers then there are 15 bets – 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and a fourfold.
With 10 selection and 4 bankers it means that the 4 bankers are in every permutation;
Fourfold : Banker 1 + Banker 2 + Banker 3 + Banker 4
Fivefolds : the 4 bankers plus any 1 of the remaining 6 selections – 6 bets in total.
Sixfolds : the 4 bankers plus any 2 of the remaining 6 selections – 15 bets in total.
Sevenfolds : the 4 bankers plus any 3 of the remaining 6 selections – 20 bets in total.
Eightfolds : the 4 bankers plus any 4 of the remaining 6 selections – 15 bets in total.
Ninefolds : the 4 bankers plus any 5 of the remaining 6 selections – 6 bets in total.
Accumulator : the 4 bankers plus all of the remaining 6 selections – 1 bet.
Corals website allow punters to select “bankers” and it organises the bet structure automatically for you. This saves you have to work out the permutations yourself and then having to enter the bets one at a time.
Good luck with your bets.