Champion Sprint Stakes

Date : Saturday 20th October 2018 at 2:00
Race : Champion Sprint Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 2 (3yo+)
Course : enter Ascot
Distance : 6f
Going : Soft

This race was established in 1946 and originally called the Diadem Stakes. The race was promoted to Group 2 status in 1996 and then became part of the British Champions Day in 2011, when it’s name was changed to the Champion Sprint Stakes.

In the last 14 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
4 top rated horses have won.
1 unrated horse has won (in 2007).
9 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (64%).
5 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (36%).
9 winners had finished in the first 3 places in their previous race (64%).
13 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (93%).
13 winners had already won over the same distance.
6 winners had already won at the course.
10 winners had already won on the going.
20/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/2 has been the lowest winning SP.

enter site Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
enter Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 7th Won Won 12th 5th Won 2nd 4th 2nd
14th
SP 4/1J1 5/2 5/1J2 7/2 7/2 5/2 9/4 5/2 11/2 9/4
Ran 2015 20 15 14 15 16 11 14 15 17
1 the other Joint Favourite was 10th 2 the other Joint Favourite was 9th

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 1 races that I have analysed…

1 : 38 of the previous 39 winners were aged 3yo-5yo.
1 : in 33 races this trend has been followed by 30 winners (91%)
1 : in 10 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 9 occasions (90%)
2 : All of the previous 9 winners had an Official Rating of 111 or higher.
2 : in 74 races this trend has been followed by 63 winners (85%)
2 : in 12 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 12 occasions (100%)
3 : 13 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race over the same distance.
3 : in 40 races this trend has been followed by 33 winners (83%)
3 : in 12 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 11 occasions (92%)
4 : 9 of the previous 11 winners had already won a race on the same going.
4 : in 7 races this trend has been followed by 4 winners (57%)
4 : in 3 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 1 occasion (33%)
In 44 Group 1 races analysed at Ascot;
The winner followed all of the trends on 27 occasions (61%).
*as at October 15th 2018

Final Declarations :

Richie’s Ratings;
Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.
1. Tba 0.0000 2. Tba 0.0000 3. Tba 0.0000

Good luck !

Result
1.
2.
3.
nn ran