Date : Saturday 21st October 2017 at 2:00
Race : Champion Sprint Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 2 (3yo+)
Course : Ascot
Distance : 6f
Going : Soft
This race was established in 1946 and originally called the Diadem Stakes. The race was promoted to Group 2 status in 1996 and then became part of the British Champions Day in 2011, when it’s name was changed to the Champion Sprint Stakes.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
4 top rated horses have won.
1 unrated horse has won (in 2007).
13 winners had already won over the same distance.
5 winners had already won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
20/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/2 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 10th 2 the other Joint Favourite was 9th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 1 races that I have analysed…
|1 : 37 of the previous 38 winners were aged 3yo-5yo.|
|1 : in 27 races this trend has been followed by 26 winners (96%)|
|1 : in 8 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 8 occasions (100%)|
|2 : 11 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating of 106 or higher.|
|2 : in 57 races this trend has been followed by 49 winners (86%)|
|2 : in 9 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 9 occasions (100%)|
|3 : All of the previous 13 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|3 : in 29 races this trend has been followed by 24 winners (83%)|
|3 : in 8 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 8 occasions (100%)|
|In 32 Group 1 races analysed at Ascot;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 23 occasions (72%).|
|*as at October 15th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Librisa Breeze 10/1
2. Tasleet 10/1
3. Caravaggio 9/2