Date : Saturday 14th October 2017 at 3:00
Race : Dewhurst Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 1 (2yo)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 7f (Rowley)
Going : Good
This race was established in 1875 as the Dewhurst Plate and is named after the Dewhurst stud at Wadhurst. The list of previous winners reads like a “Who’s Who” of British and Irish horse racing classic winners as many went on to win at the top level, 10 of which were steered to victory in this race by Lester Piggott.
In the last 23 runnings of this race;
13 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
4 winners were the top rated horse.
17 winners were unrated.
11 winners had already won a Group 1 race.
21 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winners had already won at the course.
6 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
3/10 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 1 races that I have analysed…
|1 : 20 of the previous 23 winners had finished in the first 5 places last time out.|
|1 : in 87 races this trend has been followed by 67 winners (77%)|
|1 : in 3 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 2 occasions (67%)|
|2 : 21 of the previous 23 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|2 : in 28 races this trend has been followed by 24 winners (86%)|
|2 : in 2 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 2 occasions (100%)|
|In 25 Group 1 races analysed at Newmarket;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 17 occasion (68%).|
|*as at October 13th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. U S Navy Flag 5/1
2. Mendelsohn 50/1
3. Seahenge 9/1