Fillies’ Mile

NewmarketDate : Friday 13th October 2017 at 3:35
Race : Fillies’ Mile
Type : Flat – Group 1 (2yo Fillies)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 1m (Rowley)
Going : Good

This race was established in 1973 and held at Ascot as a Listed Race. In 1975 it was promoted to Group 3 status, to Group 2 status in 1986 and then to Group 1 status 1990. it was transferred from Ascot to Newmarket in 2011.

In the last 23 runnings of this race;
10 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
5 winners were the top rated horse.
15 winners were unrated.
1 winner had already won a Group 1 race.
9 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had already won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
28/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/7 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won Won 5th 2nd Won Won Won 8th Won
2nd
SP 5/2J1 5/4 6/5 7/4 4/6 2/1 4/5 5/2 4/7 11/10
Ran 8 10 7 8 6 8 5 9 8 7
1 the other joint favourite was 5th

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 1 races that I have analysed…

1 : 19 of the previous 23 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.
1 : in 23 races this trend has been followed by 17 winners (74%)
1 : in 9 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 7 occasions (78%)
2 : 17 of the previous 18 winners had finished in the first 2 places last time out.
2 : in 87 races this trend has been followed by 67 winners (77%)
2 : in 21 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 15 occasions (71%)
In 24 Group 1 races analysed at Newmarket;
The winner followed all of the trends on 17 occasion (71%).
*as at October 9th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Laurens 10/1
2. September 9/2
3. Magic Lily 8/1
11 ran