Queen Elizabeth ll Stakes

Date : Saturday 21st October 2017 at 3:10
Race : Queen Elizabeth ll (Champion Mile) Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 1 (3yo+)
Course : Ascot
Distance : 1m (Straight)
Going : Soft

This race was established in 1955 when the Knights Royal Stakes was renamed in honour of Queen Elizabeth ll. Originally a Group 2 race which was promoted to Group 1 in 1987.

In the last 23 runnings of this race;
8 favourites have won.
10 winners were the top rated horse.
6 winners were unrated.
12 winners had already won a Group 1 race.
12 winners had already won a Group 1 race in the same season.
20 winners had already won over the same distance.
8 winners had already won at the course.
15 winners had already won on the going.
66/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/11 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won Won 2nd 4th Won Won 5th Won 2nd
2nd
SP 7/4 11/10 2/1 2/1 10/11 4/11 Evens 8/13 11/8 15/8
Ran 13 9 11 12 8 8 8 4 7 7

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 1 races that I have analysed…

1 : All of the previous 15 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.
1 : in 24 races this trend has been followed by 17 winners (71%)
1 : in 10 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 7 occasions (70%)
2 : 16 of the previous 18 winners had an Official Rating of 114 or higher.
2 : in 57 races this trend has been followed by 49 winners (86%)
2 : in 23 races over the distance, the winner followed this trend on 21 occasions (91%)
In 32 Group 1 races analysed at Ascot;
The winner followed all of the trends on 23 occasion (72%).
*as at October 15th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Persuasive 8/1
2. Ribchester 2/1F
3. Churchill 9/2
15 ran