Lillie Langtry Stakes

Glorious GoodwoodDate : Thursday 2nd August 2018 at 2:25
Race : Lillie Langtry Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 2 (3yo+ Fillies & Mares)
Course : click Goodwood
Distance : 1m 6f
Going : Good

Established in 2003 as a Listed race and named the Gladness Stakes. Just a year later it was upgraded to Group 3 status and renamed the Lillie Langtry Stakes after a British actress who was the mistress of King George VII. In 2018 the race was promoted to Group 2 status.

In the last 14 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
4 winners were top rated.
3 winners had already won at Group 3 or better.
3 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winners had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/6 has been the lowest winning SP.

http://atozautoplaza.com/wp-json/oembed/1.0/embed?url=http://atozautoplaza.com/project/01-corolla-low-mileage/ Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
http://lawplan.org/Contact/ Year 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Posn Won 5th 7th Won Won 3rd 5th 5th 6th 2nd
SP 5/2 5/2 4/1 3/1 5/6 3/1J1 13/8 6/4 3/1 9/4
Ran 10 7 14 10 8 12 10 13 9 7
1 the other Joint Favourite was 4th

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 2 races that I have analysed…

1: 13 of the previous 14 winners were aged 3yo-5yo.
1 : in 29 races this trend has been followed by 23 winners (79%)
1 : this trend has not been noted yet over this distance
2: 11 of the previous 12 winners had raced from stalls 1-6.
2 : in 27 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (41%)
2 : in 1 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (100%)
3: 12 of the previous 14 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.
3 : in 108 races this trend has been followed by 89 winners (82%)
3 : in 1 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 0 winners (0%)
In 19 Group 2 races analysed at Goodwood;
The winner followed all of the trends on 12 occasions (63%).
*as at August 1st 2018

Final Declarations :

Richie’s Ratings;
Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.
1. Precious Ramotswe 9.4033 2. Star Rock 6.9039 3. Maid Up 6.0828

Good Luck !!

Result
1. Pilaster 11/4
2. Maid Up 16/1
3. Star Rock 11/1
12 ran