Persian War Novices’ Hurdle

ChepstowDate : Sunday 15th October 2017 at 3:25
Race : Persian War Novices’ Hurdle
Type : Jumps – Grade 2 (4yo+)
Course : Chepstow
Distance : 2m 3f 110y
Going : Good

This race is named after 3 time winner of the Champion Hurdle, Persian War who won 3 times and was trained near to Chepstow racecourse. Previously run in February, the race date was moved to October in 2004.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
7 winners were unrated.
10 winners had already won a Hurdle race.
3 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had already won at the course.
6 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
8/13 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2007
Posn UR 4th PU 7th Won Won 2nd Won 5th
Won Won
SP 6/4 8/11 6/4 11/8 8/11 9/4 7/4 6/5 7/4 8/13 8/13
Ran 9 6 8 7 9 12 8 6 10 8 8

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Grade 2 Hurdles races that I have analysed…

1 : All of the previous 13 winners were aged 4yo-6yo.
1 : in 9 races this trend has been followed by 5 winners (56%)
2 : 11 of the previous 13 winners had finished either 1st or 2nd last time out.
2 : in 40 races this trend has been followed by 37 winners (93%)
*as at October 10th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Poetic Rhythm 3/1
2. Amour De Nuit 7/1
3. Vision Des Flos 13/2
9 ran