Date : Wednesday 22nd August 2018 at 2:25
Race : Acomb Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (2yo)
Course : York
Distance : 7f
Going : Good to Firm
This race is named after Acomb, an area close to York racecourse. It was granted Listed race status in 1998 and then upgraded further to Group 3 status in 2006.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
9 winners were unrated.
No winners had already won at the same level or better.
8 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winner had previously won at the course.
5 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|* No race in 2008 1 Other joint favourite was 8th
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had won their previous race.|
|1 : in 122 races this trend has been followed by 83 winners (68%)|
|1 : in 49 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 30 winners (61%)|
|2 : 7 of the previous 10 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|2 : in 60 races this trend has been followed by 47 winners (78%)|
|2 : in 10 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (50%)|
|In 14 Group 3 races analysed at York;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 12 occasions (86%).|
|*as at August 19th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Persian Moon 6.2547||2. Swissterious 6.1462||3. Ventura Ocean 4.1258|
Good luck !
1. Phoenix Of Spain 9/2
2. Watan 5/2F
3. Persian Moon 100/30