Formerly recognised as the trial race for the Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe run later in the season.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won.
6 winners were the top rated horse.
6 winners had already won at the same level or better.
5 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
12 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
2/1 has been the lowest winning SP.
| go site Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|buy topamax australia Year||2017||2016||2015||2014||2013||2012||2011||2010||2009||2008|
There are 4 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 9 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.|
|1 : in 58 races this trend has been followed by 44 winners (76%)|
|1 : in 1 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (100%)
|2 : All of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.|
|2 : in 197 races this trend has been followed by 159 winners (81%)|
|2 : in 5 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (100%)|
|3 : 12 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race with an Official Rating of 101 or higher.|
|3 : in 24 races this trend has been followed by 13 winners (54%)|
|3 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (50%)|
|4 : 12 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race on the same going.|
|4 : in 19 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (58%)|
|4 : in 1 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (100%)
|In 30 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 15 occasion (50%).|
|*as at September 17th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Young Rascal 7.1843||2. Desert Encounter 6.3737||3. Mirage Dancer 5.9458|
Good luck !
1. Young Rascal 5/2
2. Mirage Dancer 2/1F
3. Desert Encounter 4/1