Date : Saturday 23rd September 2017 at 2:15
Race : Legacy Cup Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newbury
Distance : 1m 3f
Going : Good
Formerly recognised as the trial race for the Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe run later in the season.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won.
5 winners were the top rated horse.
6 winners had already won at the same level or better.
4 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
11 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
2/1 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 8 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.|
|1 : in 41 races this trend has been followed by 31 winners (76%)|
|1 : this trend has not yet been noted over the distance
|2 : All of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.|
|2 : in 154 races this trend has been followed by 123 winners (80%)|
|2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)|
|3 : 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race with an Official Rating of 101 or higher.|
|3 : in 19 races this trend has been followed by 9 winners (47%)|
|3 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (33%)|
|4 : 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race on the same going.|
|4 : in 12 races this trend has been followed by 8 winners (67%)|
|4 : this trend has not yet been noted over the distance
|In 20 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 9 occasion (45%).|
|*as at September 20th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Desert Encounter 13/2
2. Second Step 9/2F
3. Secret Number 10/1