Legacy Cup Stakes

Date : Saturday 23rd September 2017 at 2:15
Race : Legacy Cup Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newbury
Distance : 1m 3f
Going : Good

Formerly recognised as the trial race for the Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe run later in the season.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won.
5 winners were the top rated horse.
6 winners had already won at the same level or better.
4 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
11 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
2/1 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 2nd 3rd Won 6th 4th Won 2nd 2nd 3rd
3rd
SP 13/8 8/11 11/4 10/11 10/11 2/1 8/11 7/4 6/4 11/10
Ran 5 5 7 6 4 8 7 6 9 6

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : All of the previous 8 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.
1 : in 41 races this trend has been followed by 31 winners (76%)
1 : this trend has not yet been noted over the distance
2 : All of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.
2 : in 154 races this trend has been followed by 123 winners (80%)
2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
3 : 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race with an Official Rating of 101 or higher.
3 : in 19 races this trend has been followed by 9 winners (47%)
3 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (33%)
4 : 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race on the same going.
4 : in 12 races this trend has been followed by 8 winners (67%)
4 : this trend has not yet been noted over the distance
In 20 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;
The winner followed all of the trends on 9 occasion (45%).
*as at September 20th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Desert Encounter 13/2
2. Second Step 9/2F
3. Secret Number 10/1
11 ran