Autumn Stakes

NewmarketDate : Saturday 14th October 2017 at 2:25
Race : Autumn Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (2yo)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 1m (Rowley)
Going : Good

This race was established in 1987 and originally held at Ascot as a Listed Race. In 2003 it was promoted to Group 3 status and in 2011 it was transferred to Newmarket.

In the last 12 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
4 winners were unrated.
No winners had already won a Group race.
4 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had already won at the course.
4 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/7 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 3rd 2nd 3rd Won Won 3rd 4th 4th Won
Won
SP 11/4 15/8 11/4 6/5 5/2J1 11/8 2/1 6/4 9/4 4/7
Ran 10 8 9 8 11 8 8 8 8 8
1 the other Joint Favourites was 2nd

There is 1 trend that I have found which is shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : 10 of the previous 12 winners had finished either 1st or 2nd last time out.
1 : in 104 races this trend has been followed by 70 winners (67%)
1 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (57%)
In 36 Group 3 races analysed at Newmarket;
The winner followed all of the trends on 18 occasions (50%).
*as at October 13th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Ghaiyyath 11/4
2. Dream Today 10/1
3. Purser 9/4F
8 ran