Date : Thursday 24th May 2018 at 8:10
Race : Brigadier Gerard Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (4yo+)
Course : Sandown Park
Distance : 1m 1f 209y
Going : Good
Originally named the Coronation Stakes, the name was changed in 1973 to commemorate a racehorse of the same name – Brigadier Gerard who was beaten just once in 18 starts.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won.
3 top rated horses have won.
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winners had previously won at the course.
10 winners had already won on the going.
20/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/6 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: 8 of the previous 9 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.|
|1 : in 51 races this trend has been followed by 39 winners (76%)|
|1 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (67%)|
|2: All of the previous 14 winners had an Offical Rating of 101 or higher.|
|2 : in 172 races this trend has been followed by 138 winners (80%)|
|2 : in 21 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 15 winners (71%)
|In 23 Group 3 races analysed at Sandown Park;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 14 occasions (61%).|
|*as at May 21st 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Laraaib 9.9694||2. Fabricate 9.7111||3. Poet’s Word 9.5791|
Good luck !
1. Poet’s Word 4/6F
2. Laraaib 8/1
3. Desert Encounter 12/1