Cornwallis Stakes

NewmarketDate : Friday 13th October 2017 at 1:50
Race : Cornwallis Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (2yo)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 5f (Rowley)
Going : Good

This race was established in 1946 and originally raced over 6 furlongs. It was extended to a mile in 1948 but then cut to 5 furlongs in 1957. It has been a Group 3 race since 1971 and run at Ascot until 2013 and subsequently transferred to Newmarket.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won.
5 winners were the top rated horse.
3 winners had already won a Group 3 race.
3 winners had already won a Group 3 race in the same season.
12 winners had already won over the same distance.
No winners had already won at the course.
5 winners had already won on the going.
20/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/6 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won Won 2nd 2nd 2nd 3rd 4th 2nd 10th
Won
SP 2/1 5/6 9/2C1 3/1 7/4 4/1J2 7/2 11/4 3/1 9/4
Ran 9 11 12 12 6 16 14 17 19 12
1 the other Co-Favourites were 4th + 10th 2 the other Joint Favourite was 4th

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : 11 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 98 or higher.
1 : in 159 races this trend has been followed by 126 winners (79%)
1 : in 14 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 11 winners (79%)
2 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race over the same distance.
2 : in 46 races this trend has been followed by 36 winners (78%)
2 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (71%)
In 34 Group 3 races analysed at Newmarket;
The winner followed all of the trends on 17 occasions (50%).
*as at October 9th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Abel Handy 9/2
2. Sound And Silence 5/2F
3. Mokaatil 8/1
12 ran