Date : Saturday 30th June 2018 at 1:45
Race : Criterion Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 7f
Going : Good to Firm
The Criterion Stakes was first run in it’s current format in 1978 as a Listed race and then upgraded to Group 3 level in 1986.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
7 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
4 winners were the top rated horse.
12 winners had already won over the same distance.
5 winners had previously won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
13/8 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 5th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: All of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.|
|1 : in 179 races this trend has been followed by 145 winners (81%)|
|1 : in 32 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 25 winners (78%)|
|2: 12 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|2 : in 53 races this trend has been followed by 42 winners (79%)|
|2 : in 8 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winner (50%)
|3: 8 of the previous 10 winners had already won a Group 3 race or better.|
|3 : in 22 races this trend has been followed by 15 winners (68%)|
|3 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (56%)
|In 6 Group 3 races analysed at Newmarket’s July course;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 5 occasions (83%).|
|*as at June 26th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Tabarrak 9.1220||2. Dutch Connection 8.6452||3. Larchmont Lad 6.6500|
Good Luck !!