Date : Saturday 1st July 2017 at 3:15
Race : Criterion Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 7f
Going : Good to Soft
The Criterion Stakes was first run in it’s current format in 1978 as a Listed race and then upgraded to Group 3 level in 1986.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
6winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
3 winners were the top rated horse.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winner had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
7/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 5th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: All of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.|
|1 : in 137 races this trend has been followed by 108 winners (79%)|
|1 : in 25 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 19 winners (76%)|
|2: 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|2 : in 37 races this trend has been followed by 28 winners (76%)|
|2 : in 5 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (20%)
|3: 7 of the previous 8 winners had already won a Group 3 race or better.|
|3 : in 19 races this trend has been followed by 12 winners (63%)|
|3 : in 8 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (50%)
|In 30 Group 3 races analysed at Newmarket;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 15 occasions (50%).|
|*as at June 27th 2017|
Final Declarations :
1. Home Of The Brave 13/8F
2. Jungle Cat 8/1
3. Breton Rock 6/1