Criterion Stakes

NewmarketDate : Saturday 1st July 2017 at 3:15
Race : Criterion Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 7f
Going : Good to Soft

 

The Criterion Stakes was first run in it’s current format in 1978 as a Listed race and then upgraded to Group 3 level in 1986.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
6winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
3 winners were the top rated horse.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winner had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
7/4 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won 2nd 7th Won 5th 10th 2nd 4th 2nd
2nd
SP 11/4 5/2 5/2 11/4J1 6/4 4/1 13/8 5/2 10/11 11/10
Ran 8 8 8 9 7 12 7 9 5 10
1 the other Joint Favourite was 5th

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: All of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.
1 : in 137 races this trend has been followed by 108 winners (79%)
1 : in 25 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 19 winners (76%)
2: 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race over the same distance.
2 : in 37 races this trend has been followed by 28 winners (76%)
2 : in 5 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (20%)
3: 7 of the previous 8 winners had already won a Group 3 race or better.
3 : in 19 races this trend has been followed by 12 winners (63%)
3 : in 8 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (50%)
In 30 Group 3 races analysed at Newmarket;
The winner followed all of the trends on 15 occasions (50%).
*as at June 27th 2017

Final Declarations :

Result
1. Home Of The Brave 13/8F
2. Jungle Cat 8/1
3. Breton Rock 6/1
8 ran