Diomed Stakes

EpsomDate : Saturday 3rd June 2017 at 3:10
Race : Diomed Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Epsom Downs
Distance : 1m 114y
Going : Good

First run in 1971 this is a race named after the winner of the first Derby back in 1780.

In the last 23 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won, 2 were joint favourites.
1 top rated horse has won.
5 unrated horses have won (last time in 1998).
8 winners had already won over the same distance.
8 winners had previously won at the course.
19 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/4 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won Won 2nd Won 4th 7th 7th 2nd 2nd
2nd
SP 5/2 7/4 9/4 3/1J1 5/6 15/8 11/4 6/4 100/30 4/5
Ran 7 7 7 7 6 8 9 8 8 5
1 the other Joint Favourite was 4th.

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 17 of the previous 18 winners had an Official Rating of 102 or higher.
1 : in 132 races this trend has been followed by 103 winners (73%)
1 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (100%)
2: 20 of the previous 23 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.
2 : in 84 races this trend has been followed by 54 winners (64%)
2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (67%)
3: 13 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race with an Offical Rating of 102 or higher.
3 : in 16 races this trend has been followed by 8 winners (50%)
3 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (100%)
In 4 Group 3 races analysed at Epsom Downs;
The winner followed all of the trends on 1 occasion (25%).
*as at May 30th 2017

Final Declarations :

Result
1. Sovereign Debit 4/1
2. Gabrial 7/1
3. Oh This Is Us 7/2
7 ran