Firth of Clyde Stakes

AyrDate : Saturday 23rd September 2017 at 2:00
Race : Firth of Clyde Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (2yo)
Course : Ayr
Distance : 6f
Going : Soft

Named after the Firth of Clyde, an area of water off the coast of Ayr. It was a Listed race until it was upgraded to Group 3 status in 2004.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
1 favourite has won.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
2 winners were unrated.
No winners had already won a Group race.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had previously won at the course.
4 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
9/4 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 10th 3rd 3rd 4th 6th 2nd 7th 4th 3rd
7th
SP 5/2 2/1 3/1 9/4 9/4 9/4 11/8 Evens 3/1 4/1
Ran 12 14 13 12 7 9 10 13 14 11

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : 11 of the previous 13 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.
1 : in 101 races this trend has been followed by 68 winners (67%)
1 : in 10 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 9 winners (90%)
2 : 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race over the same distance.
2 : in 45 races this trend has been followed by 35 winners (78%)
2 : in 31 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 19 winners (90%)
In 2 Group 3 races analysed at Ayr;
The winner followed all of the trends on 1 occasion (50%).
*as at September 20th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1.
2.
3.
nn ran