Geoffrey Freer Stakes

NewburyDate : Saturday 18th August 2018 at 2:25
Race : Geoffrey Freer Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : http://arcticcycles.com/gallery/1/ Newbury
Distance : 1m 5f 61y
Going : Good

Established in 1949 the race was originally known as the Oxfordshire Stakes and was founded by Geoffrey Freer, a Jockey Club Handicapper. It was renamed in his honour in 1969 and was a Group 2 race for while but was downgraded to Group 3 status in 2006.

In the last 14 runnings of this race;
7 favourites have won.
10 winners had a SP in the top 3 of the betting.
4 winners were the top rated horse.
2 winners had already won over the same distance.
5 winners had previously won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
12/1 has been the highest winning SP.
30/100 has been the lowest winning SP.

buy Prozac online nz Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
http://themaatrust.org/renewing-hopes-and-dreams-2/ Year 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Posn Won Won 6th 9th 6th Won 7th 6th Won Won
SP 13/8 Evens 9/4 9/2 3/1 5/4 100/30 6/4 11/10 2/1
Ran 8 5 6 11 10 6 10 8 8 10
 

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : All of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.
1 : in 188 races this trend has been followed by 151 winners (80%)
1 : in 2 race over this distance, this trend was followed by 2 winners (100%)
2 : All of the previous 14 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.
2 : in 121 races this trend has been followed by 82 winners (68%)
2 : in 1 races over this distance, this trend was followed by 1 winner (100%)
In 29 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;
The winner followed all of the trends on 14 occasions (48%).
*as at August 17th 2018

Final Declarations :

Richie’s Ratings;
Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.
1. Algometer 6.5047 2. Hamada 5.6693 3. Dal Harraild 5.2045

Good luck !

Result
1. Hamada 7/4F
2. Raymond Tusk 10030
3. Wlton Street 11/2
6 ran