Geoffrey Freer Stakes

NewburyDate : Saturday 19th August 2017 at 2:25
Race : Geoffrey Freer Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newbury
Distance : 1m 5f 61y
Going : Soft

Established in 1949 the race was originally known as the Oxfordshire Stakes and was founded by Geoffrey Freer, a Jockey Club Handicapper. It was renamed in his honour in 1969 and was a Group 2 race for while but was downgraded to Group 3 status in 2006.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
6 favourites have won.
4 winners were the top rated horse.
2 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winners had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
12/1 has been the highest winning SP.
30/100 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won 6th 9th 6th Won 7th 6th Won Won
Won
SP Evens 9/4 9/2 3/1 5/4 100/30 6/4 11/10 2/1 6/4
Ran 5 6 11 10 6 10 8 8 10 5

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : All of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.
1 : in 145 races this trend has been followed by 116 winners (80%)
1 : in 7 race over this distance, this trend was followed by 6 winners (86%)
2 : All of the previous 13 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.
2 : in 94 races this trend has been followed by 62 winners (66%)
2 : in 3 races over this distance, this trend was followed by 2 winners (67%)
In 19 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;
The winner followed all of the trends on 8 occasions (42%).
*as at August 14th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Defoe 13/8F
2. Wall Of Fire 14/1
3. Frontiersman 15/8
8 ran