Date : Saturday 19th August 2017 at 2:25
Race : Geoffrey Freer Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newbury
Distance : 1m 5f 61y
Going : Soft
Established in 1949 the race was originally known as the Oxfordshire Stakes and was founded by Geoffrey Freer, a Jockey Club Handicapper. It was renamed in his honour in 1969 and was a Group 2 race for while but was downgraded to Group 3 status in 2006.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
6 favourites have won.
4 winners were the top rated horse.
2 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winners had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
12/1 has been the highest winning SP.
30/100 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.|
|1 : in 145 races this trend has been followed by 116 winners (80%)|
|1 : in 7 race over this distance, this trend was followed by 6 winners (86%)
|2 : All of the previous 13 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.|
|2 : in 94 races this trend has been followed by 62 winners (66%)|
|2 : in 3 races over this distance, this trend was followed by 2 winners (67%)
|In 19 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 8 occasions (42%).|
|*as at August 14th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Defoe 13/8F
2. Wall Of Fire 14/1
3. Frontiersman 15/8