Glorious Stakes

Glorious GoodwoodDate : Friday 4th August 2017 at 1:50
Race : Glorious Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (4yo+)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 1m 3f 218y
Going : Soft

Established in 1979 and named after a horse called Alycidon a previous Goodwood Cup winner. In 1987 to the Alycidon Glorious Stakes and then again in 1989 to the Glorious Stakes. The race was upgraded to Group 3 status in 2008.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
5 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
9 winners had already won over the same distance.
6 winners had previously won at the course.
10 winners had already won on the going.
7/1 has been the highest winning SP.
Evens has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won 2nd Won 5th 3rd 4th 4th 2nd Won
5th
SP 5/2 15/8 11/10 5/2 9/4 9/4 5/4 7/2 100/30 7/2
Ran 7 7 7 6 7 10 8 9 12 12

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 11 of the previous 13 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.
1 : in 38 races this trend has been followed by 29 winners (76%)
1 : in 8 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (63%)
2: 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.
2 : in 142 races this trend has been followed by 113 winners (80%)
2 : in 206 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 16 winners (80%)
In 18 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;
The winner followed all of the trends on 5 occasions (28%).
*as at August 3rd 2017

Final Declarations :

Result
1. Poet’s Word 7/4F
2. Second Step 100/30
3. Scarlet Dragon 11/2
6 ran