Date : Friday 4th August 2017 at 1:50
Race : Glorious Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (4yo+)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 1m 3f 218y
Going : Soft
Established in 1979 and named after a horse called Alycidon a previous Goodwood Cup winner. In 1987 to the Alycidon Glorious Stakes and then again in 1989 to the Glorious Stakes. The race was upgraded to Group 3 status in 2008.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
5 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
9 winners had already won over the same distance.
6 winners had previously won at the course.
10 winners had already won on the going.
7/1 has been the highest winning SP.
Evens has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: 11 of the previous 13 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.|
|1 : in 38 races this trend has been followed by 29 winners (76%)|
|1 : in 8 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (63%)|
|2: 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.|
|2 : in 142 races this trend has been followed by 113 winners (80%)|
|2 : in 206 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 16 winners (80%)
|In 18 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 5 occasions (28%).|
|*as at August 3rd 2017|
Final Declarations :
1. Poet’s Word 7/4F
2. Second Step 100/30
3. Scarlet Dragon 11/2