Date : Thursday 21st June 2018 at 3:05
Race : Hampton Court Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo)
Course : Ascot
Distance : 1m 1f 212y
Going : Good to Firm
Renamed in 2011 from the Hampton Court Stakes, to the Tercenenary Stakes to commemorate the 300th anniversary of Ascot Racecourse and then renamed back to the Hampton Court Stakes in 2017.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
6 favourites have won.
3 top rated horses have won.
2 unrated horses have won (last time in 2005).
No winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
9 winners had already won over the same distance.
No winners had previously won at the course.
4 winners had already won on the going.
20/1 has been the highest winning SP.
7/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 8th
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: 11 of the previous 13 winners had raced from stall 5 or higher.|
|1 : in 43 races this trend has been followed by 29 winners (67%)|
|1 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
|2: 8 of the previous 9 winners had an Official Rating in the range 103-111.|
|2 : in 177 races this trend has been followed by 143 winners (81%)|
|2 : in 22 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 16 winners (73%)
|In 24 Group 3 races analysed at Ascot;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 13 occasions (54%).|
|*as at June 14th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Key Victory 7.5000||2. Wadilsafa 5.8571||3. Fajjaj 5.7143|
Good luck !
1. Hunting Horn 5/1
2. Crossed Baton 16/1
3. Zaaki 14/1