Henry II Stakes

SandownDate : Thursday 24th May 2018 at 7:35
Race : Henry II Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (4yo+)
Course : Sandown Park
Distance : 2m 50y
Going : Good

A race named after King Henry II who founded the Sandon Priory at Sandown Park during his reign (1154-1189) and possibly most known for it’s 3 time winner Persian Punch. Successful runners here usually go on to compete in the Ascot Gold Cup.

In the last 14 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won.
5 top rated horses have won.
1 unrated horse has won (in 2005).
8 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
8 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had previously won at the course.
10 winners had already won on the going.
20/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/5 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Posn Won 3rd Won Won 4th Won 3rd 3rd 2nd 3rd
SP 4/5 4/7 6/4 2/1 4/1J1 5/4 6/4 2/1 1/2 Evens
Ran 7 4 7 11 10 10 8 8 7 8
1 the other Joint Favourite was 5th.

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 8 of the previous 9 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.
1 : in 51 races this trend has been followed by 39 winners (76%)
1 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (100%)
2: 11 of the previous 12 winners had an Offical Rating of 106 or higher.
2 : in 172 races this trend has been followed by 138 winners (80%)
2 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 8 winners (89%)
In 23 Group 3 races analysed at Sandown Park;
The winner followed all of the trends on 14 occasions (61%).
*as at May 21st 20178

Final Declarations :

Richie’s Ratings;
Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.
1. Sheikzayedroad 8.1154 2. Weekender 7.0054 3. Montaly 6.3830

Good luck !!

Result
1. Magic Circle 11/2
2. Red Verdon 20/1
3. Weekender 9/4F
8 ran