Horris Hill Stakes

Date : Saturday 28th October 2017 at 2:50
Race : Horris Hill Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (2yo)
Course : Newbury
Distance : 7f
Going : Soft

This race is named after an area located south of the racecourse, originally contested by horses of both gender but reduced to just the boys in 1987.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
1 favourite has won.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
3 winners were unrated.
8 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had already won at the course.
5 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
2/1 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 12th 5th 4th 2nd 6th 2nd 2nd 13th 9th
5th
SP 11/4 7/4 2/1 5/2 7/2 15/8 7/2 9/2 100/30 15/8
Ran 13 9 6 11 8 14 10 14 13 11

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had won one or both of their last 2 races.
2 : 10 of the previous 12 winners had finished 1st or 2nd last time out.
1+2 : in 105 races this trend has been followed by 71 winners (68%)
1+2 : in 42 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 26 winners (62%)
In 22 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;
The winner followed all of the trends on 11 occasions (50%).
*as at October 15th 2016

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Nebo 4/1
2. Tangled 15/2
3. Mythical Magic 2/1F
6 ran