Huxley Stakes

Date : Thursday 11th May 2017 at 2:25
Race : Huxley Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (4yo+)
Course : Chester
Distance : 1m 2f 70y
Going : Good

Established in 1999 as a Listed race and named after a village close to Chester. The trophy awarded to the winner is known as the Tradesman’s Cup.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
7 favourites have won.
8 top rated horses have won.
1 unrated horse has won.
9 winners had already won at this level or better.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
12/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/11 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 2nd 2nd Won Won 4th Won 3rd Won 4th
Won
SP 6/4 6/4 9/4 100/30 9/4 8/11 3/1 Evens 5/4 4/6
Ran 7 5 6 7 7 5 8 9 6 4

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.
1 : in 128 races this trend has been followed by 99 winners (77%)
1 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (86%)
2: 11 of the previous 13 winners were either the top rated horse or rated 1lb lower.
2 : in 13 races this trend has been followed by 8 winners (62%)
2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
In 6 Group 3 races analysed at Chester;
The winner followed all of the trends on 5 occasions (88%).
*as at May 9th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Deauville 6/4F
2. Poet’s Word 4/1
3. Folkswood 100/30
6 ran