Date : Friday 11th May 2017 at 2:25
Race : Huxley Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 2 (4yo+)
Course : Chester
Distance : 1m 2f 70y
Going : Good
Established in 1999 as a Listed race and named after a village close to Chester. The trophy awarded to the winner is known as the Tradesman’s Cup. Promoted to Group 2 status in 2018.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
8 favourites have won.
8 top rated horses have won.
1 unrated horse has won.
10 winners had already won at this level or better.
12 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
12/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/11 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 4 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 2 races that I have analysed…
|1: 12 of the previous 14 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.|
|1 : in 32 races this trend has been followed by 28 winners (88%)|
|1 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (75%)|
|2: 13 of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.|
|2 : in 98 races this trend has been followed by 84 winners (86%)|
|2 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (83%)
|3: 12 of the previous 14 winners were either the top rated horse or rated 1lb lower.|
|3 : in 11 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (92%)|
|3 : in 1 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (100%)|
|4: 11 of the previous 12 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|4 : in 23 races this trend has been followed by 18 winners (78%)|
|4 : this trend has not yet been noted over this distance|
|No Group 2 races have yet been analysed at Chester;|
|*as at May 7th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Eminent 6.1297||2. Convey 5.8861||3. Forest Ranger 5.7127|
Good luck !
1. Forest Ranger 6/1
2. War Decree 4/1
3. Gabrial 25/1