John of Gaunt Stakes

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Date : Saturday 10th June 2017 at 4:05
Race : John Of Gaunt Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (4yo+)
Course : Haydock Park
Distance : 7f 37y
Going : Soft

Also currently known as the Timeform Jury Stakes, it is named after John Of Gaunt who was the Duke of Lancaster in the 14th Century.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
3 top rated horses have won.
3 winners had already won at the same level or better.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
10/11 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won 7th 4th 2nd 4th 2nd Won Won Won
3rd
SP 9/4 4/1 11/4 5/2 10/11 7/4 2/1J1 7/4 10/11 4/6
Ran 9/4 13 9 9 7 9 9 10 8 10
1 the other Joint Favourite was 4th.

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 8 of the previous 10 winners raced from stalls 1-3.
1 : in 32 races this trend has been followed by 20 winners (63%)
1 : in 8 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (75%)
2: All of the previous 13 winners had an Offical Rating of 107 or higher.
2 : in 134 races this trend has been followed by 105 winners (78%)
2 : in 23 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 17 winners (74%)
In 8 Group 3 races analysed at Haydock Park;
The winner followed all of the trends on 5 occasions (63%).
*as at June 5th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Absolutely So 6/1
2. Jallotta 6/1
3. So Beloved 8/1
8 ran