John Porter Stakes

Date : Saturday 22nd April 2017 at 1:55
Race : John Porter Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (4yo+)
Course : Newbury
Distance : 1m 4f 5y
Going : Good to Firm

Established in 1928 in memory of John Porter a successful racehorse trainer and co-founder of Newbury racecourse.

In the last 12 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
2 top rated horses have won.
1 unrated horse has won (in 2008).
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winners had previously won at the course (at Newbury).
10 winners had already won on the going (on turf).
12/1 has been the highest winning SP.
6/4 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016* 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 4th 3rd 2nd 3rd Won 5th 2nd 4th 14th
Won
SP 11/4 13/8 11/4 5/4 6/4 6/4 9/2J1 6/4 9/2 9/4
Ran 6 8 9 9 5 7 15 9 14 9
* Ran at Chelmsford 1 Other Joint Favourite was 11th

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 10 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating of 107 or higher.
1 : in 123 races this trend has been followed by 95 winners (77%)
1 : in 18 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 14 winners (78%)
2: 10 of the previous 12 winners had already won a race over the same distance.
2 : in 33 races this trend has been followed by 25 winners (76%)
2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
3: 10 of the previous 12 winners had already won a race on the same going.
3 : in 8 races this trend has been followed by 5 winners (63%)
3 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (100%)
In 12 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;
The winner followed all of the trends on 5 occasions (42%).
*as at April 21st 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Muntahaa 9/2
2. Chemical Charge 9/2
3. Second Step 12/1
8 ran