Date : Saturday 21st April 2018 at 2:00
Race : John Porter Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (4yo+)
Course : Newbury
Distance : 1m 4f 5y
Going : Good to Soft
Established in 1928 in memory of John Porter a successful racehorse trainer and co-founder of Newbury racecourse.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
2 top rated horses have won.
1 unrated horse has won (in 2008).
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winners had previously won at the course (at Newbury).
10 winners had already won on the going (on turf).
12/1 has been the highest winning SP.
6/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|* Ran at Chelmsford 1 Other Joint Favourite was 11th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: 11 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 107 or higher.|
|1 : in 166 races this trend has been followed by 133 winners (80%)|
|1 : in 20 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 16 winners (80%)|
|2: 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|2 : in 48 races this trend has been followed by 38 winners (79%)
|2 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (100%)|
|3: 10 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race on the same going.|
|3 : in 15 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (73%)|
|3 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (67%)
|In 24 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 12 occasions (50%).|
|*as at April 20th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Danehill Kodiac 6.5000||2. What About Carlo 5.5538||3. Titi Makfi 4.9808|
Good luck !
1. Defoe 5/4F
2. Danehill Kodiac 8/1
3. What Aboout Carlo 10/1