Date : Thursday 28th July 2016 at 2:25
Race : Lillie Langtry Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo Fillies)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 1m 6f
Going : Soft
Established in 2003 as a Listed race and named the Gladness Stakes. Just a year later it was upgraded to Group 3 status and renamed the Lillie Langtry Stakes after a British actress who was the mistress of King George VII.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
3 winners were top rated.
2 winners had already won a Group 3 race.
3 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/6 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 4th 2 the other Joint Favourite was 2nd
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: 12 of the previous 13 winners were aged 3yo-5yo.|
|1 : in 36 races this trend has been followed by 26 winners (72%)|
|1 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winners (50%)|
|2: 12 of the previous 13 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.|
|2 : in 89 races this trend has been followed by 59 winners (66%)|
|2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
|In 17 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 5 occasions (29%).|
|*as at August 2nd 2017|
Final Declarations :
1. Endless Time 5/2F
2. Dubka 13/2
3. Melodic Motion 11/2