Lillie Langtry Stakes

Glorious GoodwoodDate : Thursday 28th July 2016 at 2:25
Race : Lillie Langtry Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo Fillies)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 1m 6f
Going : Soft

Established in 2003 as a Listed race and named the Gladness Stakes. Just a year later it was upgraded to Group 3 status and renamed the Lillie Langtry Stakes after a British actress who was the mistress of King George VII.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
3 winners were top rated.
2 winners had already won a Group 3 race.
3 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/6 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 5th 7th Won Won 3rd 5th 5th 6th 2nd
Won
SP 5/2 4/1 3/1 5/6 3/1J1 13/8 6/4 3/1 9/4 3/1J1
Ran 7 14 10 8 12 10 13 9 7 8
1 the other Joint Favourite was 4th 2 the other Joint Favourite was 2nd

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 12 of the previous 13 winners were aged 3yo-5yo.
1 : in 36 races this trend has been followed by 26 winners (72%)
1 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winners (50%)
2: 12 of the previous 13 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.
2 : in 89 races this trend has been followed by 59 winners (66%)
2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
In 17 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;
The winner followed all of the trends on 5 occasions (29%).
*as at August 2nd 2017

Final Declarations :

Result
1. Endless Time 5/2F
2. Dubka 13/2
3. Melodic Motion 11/2
10 ran