Date : Wednesday 2nd August 2017 at 3:00
Race : Molecomb Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (2yo)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 5f
Going : Good to Soft
Established in 1829, the race is named after a house located on the Goodwood estate that was built by the 3rd Duke of Richmond for his sister Lady Sarah Lennox.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
1 winner was top top rated.
10 winners were unrated.
No winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winner had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
14/1 has been the highest winning SP.
10/11 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: 8 of the previous 11 winners had won one or both of their last 2 races.|
|1 : in 88 races this trend has been followed by 58 winners (66%)|
|1 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (50%)|
|2: 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|2 : in 41 races this trend has been followed by 32 winners (78%)|
|2 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (67%)
|In 16 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 4 occasions (25%).|
|*as at July 30th 2017|
Final Declarations :
1. Havana Grey 7/2
2. Invincible Army 5/2F
3. To Wafij 8/1