Date : Wednesday 16th May 2018 at 4:05
Race : Musidora Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo) Fillies & Mares
Course : York
Distance : 1m 2f 56y
Going : Good to Firm
A race named after a horse called Musidora that won both the 1,000 Guineas and the Oaks in 1949. Successful horses in this race often go on to compete in the Oaks.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
7 favourites have won.
5 top rated horses have won.
4 unrated horses have won.
2 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
3 winners had already won over the same distance.
No winners had previously won at the course.
6 winners had already won on the going.
8/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/7 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: 13 of the previous 14 winners had an SP in the top 3 of the betting.|
|1 : in 49 races this trend has been followed by 37 winners (76%)|
|1 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (100%)|
|2: 13 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race.|
|2 : in 15 races this trend has been followed by 15 winners (100%)|
|2 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (100%)
|In 12 Group 3 races analysed at York;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 10 occasions (83%).|
|*as at May 12th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Expensive Liaison 6.9070||2. Give an Take 5.3571||3. Lubinka 4.5199|
Good luck !
1. Give And Take 7/2
2. Dancing Brave Bear 14/1
3. Ejtyah 5/1