Palace House Stakes

Date : Saturday 6th May 2017 at 2:20
Race : Palace House Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 5f
Going : Good to Firm

Established in 1961 and named after a building in Newmarket, it was promoted to Group 3 status in 1971.

In the last 12 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
2 top rated horses have won.
1 unrated horse has won (in 2006).
12 winners had already won over the same distance.
6 winners had previously won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
11/8 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Posn 3rd 5th Won Won Won 13th 9th 3rd 2nd
Won 14th
SP 9/2 5/2 9/4 7/2J1 7/2 11/4 5/2 4/1 11/4 11/8 4/1
Ran 21 9 11 17 16 15 12 16 10 10 22
1 the other Joint Favorite was 4th

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 11 of the previous 12 winners had raced from stalls 1-11.
1 : in 30 races this trend has been followed by 19 winners (63%)
1 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (25%)
2: 8 of the previous 10 winners had an Official Rating of 107 or higher.
2 : in 127 races this trend has been followed by 98 winners (77%)
2 : in 11 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 8 winners (73%)
In 27 Group 3 races analysed at Newmarket;
The winner followed all of the trends on 15 occasions (56%).
*as at May 5th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Marsha 8/1
2. Washington DC 100/30F
3. Goldream 12/1
15 ran