Palace House Stakes

Date : Saturday 5th May 2017 at 2:20
Race : Palace House Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 5f
Going : Good

Established in 1961 and named after a building in Newmarket, it was promoted to Group 3 status in 1971.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
2 top rated horses have won.
1 unrated horse has won (in 2006).
13 winners had already won over the same distance.
6 winners had previously won at the course.
10 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
11/8 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Posn 2nd 3rd 5th Won Won Won 13th 9th 3rd 2nd
SP 100/30 9/2 5/2 9/4 7/2J1 7/2 11/4 5/2 4/1 11/4
Ran 15 21 9 11 17 16 15 12 16 10
1 the other Joint Favorite was 4th

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 9 of the previous 11 winners had an Official Rating of 107 or higher.
1 : in 169 races this trend has been followed by 136 winners (80%)
1 : in 15 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 12 winners (80%)
2: 8 of the previous 9 winners had already wona race on the same going.
2 : in 18 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (61%)
2 : this trend has not yet been noted over this distance
In 36 Group 3 races analysed at Newmarket on the Rowley course;
The winner followed all of the trends on 18 occasions (50%).
*as at May 1st 2018

Final Declarations :

Richie’s Ratings;
Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.
1. Havana Grey 7.3077 2. Alpha Delphini 7.2299 3. Ornate 6.6914

Good luck !

Result
1. Mabs Cross
2. Judical 10/1
3. Alpha Delphini 10/1
9 ran