Date : Saturday 9th June 2018 at 2:50
Race : Pinnacle Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (4yo+ Fillies)
Course : Haydock Park
Distance : 1m 3f 175y
Going : Good to Firm
Originally a Listed race held in memory of Lady Joan Westbrook, this race is for fillies and mares and was promoted to Group 3 status in 2012. First run in 2003, winners of this race have often gone on to run in the Lancashire Oaks but only Pongee (2004) has been able to win both so far.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
1 top rated horse has won.
No winners had already won at the same level or better.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
No winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
12/1 has been the highest winning SP.
Evens has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 8th. 2 the other Joint Favourite was 10th.
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: 13 of the previous 14 winners had finished in the first 3 places last time out.|
|1 : in 113 races this trend has been followed by 76 winners (67%)|
|1 : in 12 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 9 winners (75%)|
|2: All of the previous 14 winners had either already won a race over the same distance or on the same going or both.|
|2d : in 51 races the distance trend has been followed by 40 winners (78%)|
|2g : in 19 races the going trend has been followed by 11 winners (58%)|
|2d : in 5 races over this distance, the distance trend has been followed by 4 winners (80%)
|2g : in 4 races over this distance, the going trend has been followed by 2 winners (50%)|
|In 12 Group 3 races analysed at Haydock Park;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 9 occasions (75%).|
|*as at June 3rd 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. God Given 8.9974||2. Titi Mafki 8.0259||3. Cribbs Causeway 7.4965|
Good luck !
1. God Given 9/4F
2. Crimson Rosette 14/1
3. What A Home 6/1