Prestige Stakes

GoodwoodDate : Saturday 26th August 2017 at 2:10
Race : Prestige Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (2yo)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 7f
Going : Good

Established in 1974 as the Globtik Stakes, it then changed to the Waterford Candelabra Stakes the following year. It was upgraded from Listed to Group 3 status in 1981 and was renamed in 1987 to the Prestige Stakes.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won.
3 winners were the top rated horse.
8 winners were unrated.
No winners had already won a Group race.
8 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had previously won at the course.
4 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/7 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 4th 2nd Won Won 2nd Won Won 8th Won
Won
SP 100/30 11/4 13/8 6/4 10/11 2/1 11/10 3/1 9/4 4/7
Ran 7 9 8 7 8 6 7 8 10 7

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : All of the previous 10 winners had a SP of 5/1 or shorter.
1 : in 17 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (65%)
1 : in 8 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (63%)
2 : 9 of the previous 10 winners had won one or both of their last 2 races.
3 : 10 of the previous 12 winners had finished in the first 3 places last time out.
2+3 : in 97 races this trend has been followed by 65 winners (67%)
2+3 : in 38 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 24 winners (63%)
In 22 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;
The winner followed all of the trends on 8 occasions (36%).
*as at August 25th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Billesden Brook 4/1
2. Whitefountainfairy 10/1
3. Miss Bar Beach 33/1
10 ran