Date : Saturday 26th August 2017 at 2:10
Race : Prestige Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (2yo)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 7f
Going : Good
Established in 1974 as the Globtik Stakes, it then changed to the Waterford Candelabra Stakes the following year. It was upgraded from Listed to Group 3 status in 1981 and was renamed in 1987 to the Prestige Stakes.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won.
3 winners were the top rated horse.
8 winners were unrated.
No winners had already won a Group race.
8 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had previously won at the course.
4 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/7 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 10 winners had a SP of 5/1 or shorter.|
|1 : in 17 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (65%)|
|1 : in 8 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (63%)|
|2 : 9 of the previous 10 winners had won one or both of their last 2 races.|
|3 : 10 of the previous 12 winners had finished in the first 3 places last time out.|
|2+3 : in 97 races this trend has been followed by 65 winners (67%)|
|2+3 : in 38 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 24 winners (63%)|
|In 22 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 8 occasions (36%).|
|*as at August 25th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Billesden Brook 4/1
2. Whitefountainfairy 10/1
3. Miss Bar Beach 33/1