Princess Elizabeth Stakes

EpsomDate : Saturday 4th June 2017 at 2:35
Race : Princess Elizabeth Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+) Fillies & Mares
Course : Epsom Downs
Distance : 1m 113y
Going : Good

Formally the Victress Stakes it was renamed in 2001 and upgraded from Listed to Group 3 status in 2004.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
7 favourites have won.
6 top rated horses have won.
5 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winner had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
9/1 has been the highest winning SP.
Evens has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 2nd 3rd 3rd Won 5th Won Won 3rd 2nd
Won
SP 1/2 5/2 100/30 3/1 13/8 11/8 15/8 13/8 7/2J1 7/4
Ran 7 9 10 9 5 8 9 8 9 10
1 the other Joint Favourite was 5th.

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 101 or higher.
1 : in 132 races this trend has been followed by 103 winners (78%)
1 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (100%)
2: 12 of the previous 13 winners were either the top rated horse or had an Official Rating within 7lbs of the top rated horse.
2 : in 14 races this trend has been followed by 9 winners (64%)
2 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (50%)
In 4 Group 3 races analysed at Epsom Downs;
The winner followed all of the trends on 1 occasion (25%).
*as at May 30th 2017

Final Declarations :

Result
1. Laugh Alod 4/5F
2. Absolute Blast 8/1
3. Tisbutadream 12/1
10 ran