Date : Saturday 2nd June 2018 at 2:35
Race : Princess Elizabeth Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+) Fillies & Mares
Course : Epsom Downs
Distance : 1m 113y
Going : Good
Formally the Victress Stakes it was renamed in 2001 and upgraded from Listed to Group 3 status in 2004.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
7 favourites have won.
6 top rated horses have won.
5 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winner had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
9/1 has been the highest winning SP.
Evens has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 5th.
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1: 13 of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating of 101 or higher.|
|1 : in 174 races this trend has been followed by 140 winners (80%)|
|1 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (100%)|
|2: 13 of the previous 14 winners were either the top rated horse or had an Official Rating within 7lbs of the top rated horse.|
|2 : in 17 races this trend has been followed by 12 winners (71%)|
|2 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (75%)
|3: All of the previous 14 winners had already won a race at Listed level or better.|
|3 : in 21 races this trend has been followed by 14 winners (67%)|
|3 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (100%)
|In 6 Group 3 races analysed at Epsom Downs;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 3 occasions (50%).|
|*as at May 27th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Wilamina 8.0433||2. Lincoln Rocks 7.4906||3. Dance Diva 6.1298|
Good luck !!
1. Wilamina 7/2JF
2. Anna Nerium 4/1
3. Shenanigans 7/2JF