Queens Plate

Glorious GoodwoodDate : Friday 4th August 2017 at 4:40
Race : Queens Plate
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+ Fillies)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 7f
Going : Soft

Established as the New Stand Stakes in 1980 to commemorate the opening of a new grandstand by Queen Elizabeth II. In 1982 the name was changed to the Oak Tree Stakes to acknowledge the link with the Oak Tree Racing Association in California. In 2004 it became a Group 3 race.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
2 favourites have won.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
1 winner had already won a Group 3 race.
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winners had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
15/8 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 4th 2nd 2nd 2nd 10th 5th 5th 10th Won
2nd
SP 11/8 5/2J1 7/4 2/1 9/4 4/1 15/8 2/1 2/1 100/30
Ran 11 10 9 13 14 17 9 13 14 16
1 the other Joint Favourite was 7th

There are 4 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1: All of the previous 13 winners were aged 3yo-4yo.
1 : in 37 races this trend has been followed by 27 winners (73%)
1 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (86%)
2: 11 of the previous 12 winners had race from stalls 1, 2, 9 or 10..
2 : in 37 races this trend has been followed by 25 winners (68%)
2 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 7 winners (78%)
3: 10 of the previous 12 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.
3 : in 90 races this trend has been followed by 59 winners (66%)
3 : in 34 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 21 winners (62%)
4: 10 of the previous 12 winners had already won a race over the same distance.
4 : in 42 races this trend has been followed by 33 winners (79%)
4 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (33%)
In 18 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;
The winner followed all of the trends on 5 occasions (28%).
*as at August 3rd 2017

Final Declarations :

Result
1. Al Jazi 9/4F
2. Eternally 9/2
3. Tomyris 7/1
10 ran