Date : Saturday 11th August 2018 at 3:05
Race : Rose of Lancaster Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : http://sequinsandsweets.com/2014/04/28/stages-of-packing/comment-page-1/ Haydock
Distance : 1m 2f 100y
Going : Good to Firm
First run in 1986 and called the Summer Trophy, it was renamed upgraded to Group 3 status in 1989.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
7 winners had a SP in the top 3 of the betting.
3 winners were the top rated horse.
1 winner had already won a Group 3 race.
6 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
1/3 has been the lowest winning SP.
| http://blackwidowsthemovie.com/wp-json/oembed/1.0//"http:////blackwidowsthemovie.com///" Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other JF was 7th
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 14 winners were aged 3yo-5yo.|
|1 : in 46 races this trend has been followed by 35 winners (76%)|
|1 : in 5 races over this distance, this trend was followed by 5 winners (100%)
|2 : 13 of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.|
|2 : in 186 races this trend has been followed by 150 winners (81%)|
|2 : in 10 races over this distance, this trend was followed by 9 winners (90%)
|In 14 Group 3 races analysed at Haydock Park;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 10 occasions (71%).|
|*as at August 6th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Teodoro 12.1927||2. Elwazir 10.8515||3. Communique 8.1221|
Good luck !
1. Teodoro 10/1
2. Brorocco 10/1
3. Zaaki 13/8F