Date : Saturday 12th August 2016 at 2:30
Race : Rose of Lancaster Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Haydock
Distance : 1m 2f 100y
Going : Good to Soft
First run in 1986 and called the Summer Trophy, it was renamed upgraded to Group 3 status in 1989.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
3 winners were the top rated horse.
1 winner had already won a Group 3 race.
6 winners had already won over the same distance.
No winners had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
1/3 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other JF was 7th
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 13 winners were aged 3yo-5yo.|
|1 : in 38 races this trend has been followed by 28 winners (74%)|
|1 : in 1 race over this distance, this trend was not followed by the winner (0%)
|2 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.|
|2 : in 144 races this trend has been followed by 115 winners (80%)|
|2 : in 10 races over this distance, this trend was followed by 10 winners (71%)
|In 10 Group 3 races analysed at Haydock Park;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 7 occasions (70%).|
|*as at August 10th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Frankuus 8/1
2. Mount Logan6/1
3. Laraaib 2/1F