Rose of Lancaster Stakes

HaydockDate : Saturday 12th August 2016 at 2:30
Race : Rose of Lancaster Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Haydock
Distance : 1m 2f 100y
Going : Good to Soft

First run in 1986 and called the Summer Trophy, it was renamed upgraded to Group 3 status in 1989.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
3 winners were the top rated horse.
1 winner had already won a Group 3 race.
6 winners had already won over the same distance.
No winners had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
1/3 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 2nd Won 3rd 2nd 2nd Won 3rd 2nd Won
3rd
SP 7/4 1/3 9/4 4/9 15/8 3/1J1 4/1 9/4 2/1 11/8
Ran 6 5 7 8 5 8 8 8 7 6
1 the other JF was 7th

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : All of the previous 13 winners were aged 3yo-5yo.
1 : in 38 races this trend has been followed by 28 winners (74%)
1 : in 1 race over this distance, this trend was not followed by the  winner (0%)
2 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 105 or higher.
2 : in 144 races this trend has been followed by 115 winners (80%)
2 : in 10 races over this distance, this trend was followed by 10 winners (71%)
In 10 Group 3 races analysed at Haydock Park;
The winner followed all of the trends on 7 occasions (70%).
*as at August 10th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Frankuus 8/1
2. Mount Logan6/1
3. Laraaib 2/1F
11 ran