Date : Saturday 9th September 2017 at 2:05
Race : September Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Kempton
Distance : 1m 3f 219y
Going : Standard
Established in 1979 and originally run on turf but was switched to Kempton’s all-weather track in 2006. In 1982 it was promoted from Listed to Group 3 status.
In the last 11 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
4 winners were the top rated horse.
7 winners had already won a race at the same level.
8 winners had already won over the same distance.
5 winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
1/5 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other joint favourite was 6th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : 9 of the previous 11 winners were aged 4yo-6yo.|
|1 : in 40 races this trend has been followed by 29 winners (73%)|
|1 : in 6 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (67%)|
|2 : All of the previous 11 winners had an Official Rating of 104 or higher.|
|2 : in 151 races this trend has been followed by 120 winners (79%)
|2 : in 21 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 17 winners (81%)|
|3 : 9 of the previous 11 winners had an Official Rating within 7lbs of the top rated horse.|
|3 : in 16 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (69%)|
|3 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (50%)
|In 2 Group 3 races analysed at Kempton Park;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 1 occasion (50%).|
|*as at September 4th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Chemcial Charge 13/8F
2. Scarlet Dragon 7/1
3. Wild Hacked 8/1