September Stakes

KemptonDate : Saturday 9th September 2017 at 2:05
Race : September Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Kempton
Distance : 1m 3f 219y
Going : Standard

Established in 1979 and originally run on turf but was switched to Kempton’s all-weather track in 2006. In 1982 it was promoted from Listed to Group 3 status.

In the last 11 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
4 winners were the top rated horse.
7 winners had already won a race at the same level.
8 winners had already won over the same distance.
5 winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
16/1 has been the highest winning SP.
1/5 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won Won 2nd 2nd 4th 3rd 2nd Won 4th
2nd
SP 11/10 1/5 5/2 9/4 3/1 15/8 7/4 7/4 5/2J1 11/4
Ran 6 7 7 10 9 7 9 10 12 7
1 the other joint favourite was 6th

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : 9 of the previous 11 winners were aged 4yo-6yo.
1 : in 40 races this trend has been followed by 29 winners (73%)
1 : in 6 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (67%)
2 : All of the previous 11 winners had an Official Rating of 104 or higher.
2 : in 151 races this trend has been followed by 120 winners (79%)
2 : in 21 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 17 winners (81%)
3 : 9 of the previous 11 winners had an Official Rating within 7lbs of the top rated horse.
3 : in 16 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (69%)
3 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (50%)
In 2 Group 3 races analysed at Kempton Park;
The winner followed all of the trends on 1 occasion (50%).
*as at September 4th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Chemcial Charge 13/8F
2. Scarlet Dragon 7/1
3. Wild Hacked 8/1
6 ran