Strensall Stakes

YorkDate : Saturday 26th August 2017 at 1:55
Race : Strensall Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : York
Distance : 1m 177y
Going : Good

This race is named after a village close to York racecourse. It was formerly a Listed race for fillies over 7 furlongs but was opened to males and extended to 1m 208y in 1987. In 2003 the race was upgraded to Group 3 status.

In the last 11 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
5 winners were the top rated horse.
1 winner was unrated (in 2005).
3 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
4 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
9/1 has been the highest winning SP.
Evens has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009* 2007 2006
Posn 8th Won 4th 4th 6th Won 2nd 5th Won
Won
SP 11/4 4/1 5/4 6/4 2/1 11/4J1 5/4 9/4 5/4 5/2
Ran 10 9 7 7 7 10 10 7 7 8
* No race in 2008. 1 other Joint Favourite was 3rd.

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : All of the previous 11 winners had a SP of 9/1 or shorter.
1 : in 17 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (65%)
1 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (50%)
2 : 10 of the previous 11 winners had an Official Rating of 107 or higher.
2 : in 147 races this trend has been followed by 117 winners (80%)
2 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (86%)
3 : 9 of the previous 11 winners had already won a race with an Official Rating of 107 or higher.
3 : in 17 races this trend has been followed by 9 winners (53%)
3 : in 1 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (100%)
In 11 Group 3 races analysed at York;
The winner followed all of the trends on 10 occasions (91%).
*as at August 25th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Mustashry 5/2F
2. Forest Ranger 13/2
3. Sovereign Debt 6/1
7 ran