Date : Saturday 26th August 2017 at 1:55
Race : Strensall Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : York
Distance : 1m 177y
Going : Good
This race is named after a village close to York racecourse. It was formerly a Listed race for fillies over 7 furlongs but was opened to males and extended to 1m 208y in 1987. In 2003 the race was upgraded to Group 3 status.
In the last 11 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite.
5 winners were the top rated horse.
1 winner was unrated (in 2005).
3 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
4 winners had already won over the same distance.
4 winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
9/1 has been the highest winning SP.
Evens has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|* No race in 2008. 1 other Joint Favourite was 3rd.
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 11 winners had a SP of 9/1 or shorter.|
|1 : in 17 races this trend has been followed by 11 winners (65%)|
|1 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (50%)|
|2 : 10 of the previous 11 winners had an Official Rating of 107 or higher.|
|2 : in 147 races this trend has been followed by 117 winners (80%)|
|2 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (86%)|
|3 : 9 of the previous 11 winners had already won a race with an Official Rating of 107 or higher.|
|3 : in 17 races this trend has been followed by 9 winners (53%)|
|3 : in 1 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (100%)|
|In 11 Group 3 races analysed at York;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 10 occasions (91%).|
|*as at August 25th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Mustashry 5/2F
2. Forest Ranger 13/2
3. Sovereign Debt 6/1