Date : Saturday 9th September 2017 at 3:35
Race : Superior Mile
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Haydock
Distance : 1m 37y
Going : Heavy
Established in 2003 as a Listed race and promoted to Group 3 status in 2013.
In the last 12 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
4 winners were the top rated horse.
6 winners had already won a race at the same level or higher.
7 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winners had previously won at the course.
6 winners had already won on the going.
22/1 has been the highest winning SP.
15/8 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other joint favourite was 2nd * there was no race in 2008
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 12 winners were aged 3yo-6yo.|
|1 : in 40 races this trend has been followed by 29 winners (73%)|
|1 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (71%)|
|2 : 11 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating of 103 or higher.|
|2 : in 151 races this trend has been followed by 120 winners (79%)
|2 : in 16 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 13 winners (81%)|
|In 11 Group 3 races analysed at Haydock Park;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 8 occasions (73%).|
|*as at September 4th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Ballet Concerto 8/1
2. Kaspersky 14/1
3. Morando 9/2