Supreme Stakes

GoodwoodDate : Sunday 27th August 2017 at 4:30
Race : Supreme Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 7f
Going : Good

Established in 1981 as a Listed race and called the Harroway Stakes. The name was changed to the Supreme Stakes in 1987 and at the same time the race was upgraded to Group 3 status.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
1 favourite has won.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
5 winners have already won a race at the same level or better.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
14/1 has been the highest winning SP.
2/1 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 5th 2nd 2nd 3rd 2nd 4th 3rd 2nd 2nd
2nd
SP 11/8 13/8 2/1 3/1J1 11/4 3/1J2 5/2 5/4 15/8 9/4
Ran 6 5 6 9 7 8 6 7 5 10
1 the other joint favourite was 6th 2 the other joint favourite was 6th

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : 10 of the previous 11 winners had an SP of 7/1 or shorter.
1 : in 19 races this trend has been followed by 13 winners (68%)
1 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has be followed by 6 winners (67%)
2 : 10 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating in the range 105-115.
2 : in 149 races this trend has been followed by 118 winners (79%)
2 : in 26 races over the distance, this trend has be followed by 20 winners (77%)
In 23 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;
The winner followed all of the trends on 9 occasions (39%).
*as at August 26th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1.
2.
3.
nn ran