Date : Sunday 27th August 2017 at 4:30
Race : Supreme Stakes
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 7f
Going : Good
Established in 1981 as a Listed race and called the Harroway Stakes. The name was changed to the Supreme Stakes in 1987 and at the same time the race was upgraded to Group 3 status.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
1 favourite has won.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
5 winners have already won a race at the same level or better.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
14/1 has been the highest winning SP.
2/1 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other joint favourite was 6th 2 the other joint favourite was 6th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : 10 of the previous 11 winners had an SP of 7/1 or shorter.|
|1 : in 19 races this trend has been followed by 13 winners (68%)|
|1 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has be followed by 6 winners (67%)|
|2 : 10 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating in the range 105-115.|
|2 : in 149 races this trend has been followed by 118 winners (79%)
|2 : in 26 races over the distance, this trend has be followed by 20 winners (77%)|
|In 23 Group 3 races analysed at Goodwood;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 9 occasions (39%).|
|*as at August 26th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !