World Trophy

Date : Saturday 22nd September 2018 at 3:30
Race : World Trophy
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : http://atlantafingerprinting.com/?author=33 Newbury
Distance : 5f 34y
Going : Soft

In the last 14 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won.
5 winners were the top rated horse.
8 winners had already won at the same level or better.
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
10 winners had already won on the going.
50/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/4 has been the lowest winning SP.

http://newmovementnewresults.com/flow-inspiration-aim-for-beauty Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
follow site Year 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Posn 2nd 3rd Won Won 6th Won Won Won 4th 4th
cheap eulexin schering SP 9/2 13/8 7/2 13/8 4/1J1 3/1 5/4 3/1 5/4 11/2
Ran 17 6 11 9 13 10 10 15 9 14
1 the other joint favourite was 10th

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : 13 of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating of 100 or higher.
1 : in 197 races this trend has been followed by 159 winners (81%)
1 : in 17 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 13 winners (76%)
2 : 11 of the previous 14 winners had finished in the first 3 places last time out.
2 : in 128 races this trend has been followed by 88 winners (69%)
2 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (67%)
In 30 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;
The winner followed all of the trends on 15 occasions (50%).
*as at September 17th 2018

Final Declarations :

Richie’s Ratings;
Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.
1. Equilateral 7.9972 2. Gracious John 7.0002 3. Take Cover 6.9138

Good luck !

Result
1. Mr Lupton 11/4F
2. Take cover 9/2
3. Rebel Streak 16/1
9 ran