World Trophy

Date : Saturday 23rd September 2017 at 4:00
Race : World Trophy
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newbury
Distance : 5f 34y
Going : Good

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won.
5 winners were the top rated horse.
7 winners had already won at the same level or better.
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
50/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/4 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2007
Posn 3rd Won Won 6th Won Won Won 4th 4th
5th 5th
SP 13/8 7/2 13/8 4/1J1 3/1 5/4 3/1 5/4 11/2 9/4 9/4
Ran 6 11 9 13 10 10 15 9 14 8 8
1 the other joint favourite was 10th

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…

1 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 100 or higher.
1 : in 154 races this trend has been followed by 123 winners (80%)
1 : in 13 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 10 winners (77%)
2 : 10 of the previous 13 winners had finished in the first 3 places last time out.
2 : in 101 races this trend has been followed by 68 winners (67%)
2 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (57%)
In 2 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;
The winner followed all of the trends on 1 occasion (50%).
*as at September 20th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Take Cover 8/1
2. Cotai Glory 9/2F
3. Muthmir 5/1
17 ran