Date : Saturday 23rd September 2017 at 4:00
Race : World Trophy
Type : Flat – Group 3 (3yo+)
Course : Newbury
Distance : 5f 34y
Going : Good
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won.
5 winners were the top rated horse.
7 winners had already won at the same level or better.
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
50/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other joint favourite was 10th
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Group 3 races that I have analysed…
|1 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating of 100 or higher.|
|1 : in 154 races this trend has been followed by 123 winners (80%)|
|1 : in 13 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 10 winners (77%)|
|2 : 10 of the previous 13 winners had finished in the first 3 places last time out.|
|2 : in 101 races this trend has been followed by 68 winners (67%)|
|2 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (57%)|
|In 2 Group 3 races analysed at Newbury;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 1 occasion (50%).|
|*as at September 20th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Take Cover 8/1
2. Cotai Glory 9/2F
3. Muthmir 5/1