Date : Saturday 14th October 2017 at 4:10
Race : Silver Trophy Hurdle
Type : Jumps – Grade 3 (4yo+)
Course : Chepstow
Distance : 2m 3f 110y
Going : Good to Soft
Established in 1988 as a Class 2 Handicap, it was promoted to Listed level in 2005 and in 2011 it was given it’s current Grade 3 status.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
2 favourites have won.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
5 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys.
5 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had already won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
40/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/5 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other joint favourite was 12th
There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Grade 3 Hurdle races that I have analysed…
|1 : 11 of the previous 12 winners carried a weight of 11-0 or less.|
|1 : in 7 races this trend has been followed by 3 winners (43%)|
|2 : 10 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating in the range 9-22lbs lower than the top rated horse.|
|2 : in 9 races this trend has been followed by 2 winners (22%)|
|*as at October 10th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Court Minstrel 14/1
2. Sam Spinner 8/1
3. Peak To Peak 10/1
4. Wholestone 4/1