Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle

Date : Saturday 14th October 2017 at 4:10
Race : Silver Trophy Hurdle
Type : Jumps – Grade 3 (4yo+)
Course : Chepstow
Distance : 2m 3f 110y
Going : Good to Soft

Established in 1988 as a Class 2 Handicap, it was promoted to Listed level in 2005 and in 2011 it was given it’s current Grade 3 status.

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
2 favourites have won.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
5 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys.
5 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had already won at the course.
7 winners had already won on the going.
40/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/5 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 5th 6th 4th 4th 4th DSQ 10th 3rd PU
Won
SP 4/1 7/2J1 2/1 9/4 5/2 11/2 5/1 11/8 9/4 2/1
Ran 14 2014 12 11 13 17 13 14 9 14
1 the other joint favourite was 12th

There are 2 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Grade 3 Hurdle races that I have analysed…

1 : 11 of the previous 12 winners carried a weight of 11-0 or less.
1 : in 7 races this trend has been followed by 3 winners (43%)
2 : 10 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating in the range 9-22lbs lower than the top rated horse.
2 : in 9 races this trend has been followed by 2 winners (22%)
*as at October 10th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Court Minstrel 14/1
2. Sam Spinner 8/1
3. Peak To Peak 10/1
4. Wholestone 4/1
18 ran