Date : Thursday 13th July 2017 at 3:00
Race : Bet365 Handicap
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 6f (July course)
Going : Good
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
No favourites have won.
3 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
3 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
No winners were the top rated horse has won.
10 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (77%).
3 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (23%).
8 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (62%).
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winner had previously won at the course.
5 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP (twice).
13/2 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 15th.
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1 : 9 of the previous 12 winners had raced from stall 10 or higher.|
|1 : in 31 races this trend has been followed by 17 winners (55%)|
|1 : this trend has not yet been noted over the distance.|
|2 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating in the range 84-96.|
|2 : in 95 races this trend has been followed by 65 winners (68%)|
|2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (67%)|
|3 : 10 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating at least 8lbs lower than the top rated horse.|
|3 : in 13 races this trend has been followed by 6 winners (46%)|
|3 : this trend has not yet been noted over the distance.
|In 7 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Newmarket;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 3 occasions (43%).|
|*as at July 11th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Ekhtiyaar 13/2
2. Tommy Taylor 14/1
3. Ultimate Avenue 28/1
4. Golden Apollo 6/1