Bet365 Handicap

NewmarketDate : Thursday 13th July 2017 at 3:00
Race : Bet365 Handicap
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 6f (July course)
Going : Good

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
No favourites have won.
3 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
3 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
No winners were the top rated horse has won.
10 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (77%).
3 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (23%).
8 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (62%).
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winner had previously won at the course.
5 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP (twice).
13/2 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn 6th 4th 3rd 2nd 6th 8th 8th 8th 7th
3rd
SP 11/2 13/2 13/2j1 16/1 4/1 6/1 15/2 11/2 7/1 5/1
Ran 20 17 15 18 16 18 20 19 20 19
1 the other Joint Favourite was 15th.

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…

1 : 9 of the previous 12 winners had raced from stall 10 or higher.
1 : in 31 races this trend has been followed by 17 winners (55%)
1 : this trend has not yet been noted over the distance.
2 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating in the range 84-96.
2 : in 95 races this trend has been followed by 65 winners (68%)
2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (67%)
3 : 10 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating at least 8lbs lower than the top rated horse.
3 : in 13 races this trend has been followed by 6 winners (46%)
3 : this trend has not yet been noted over the distance.
In 7 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Newmarket;
The winner followed all of the trends on 3 occasions (43%).
*as at July 11th 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Ekhtiyaar 13/2
2. Tommy Taylor 14/1
3. Ultimate Avenue 28/1
4. Golden Apollo 6/1
19 ran