Date : Friday 3rd August 2018 at 3:00
Race : BetFred Mile
Type : Flat – Class 2 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 1m
Going : Good to Firm
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
5 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
3 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
No winners were ridden by a claiming jockey.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
5 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (36%).
9 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (64%).
11 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (79%).
12 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had previously won at the course.
10 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
7/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 11th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 12 winners were aged 3yo-6yo.|
|1 : in 57 races this trend has been followed by 43 winners (75%)|
|1 : in 8 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 7 winners (88%)|
|2 : All of the previous 10 winners had an Official Rating in the range 94-106.|
|2 : in 117 races this trend has been followed by 81 winners (69%)|
|2 : in 21 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 15 winners (71%)|
|3 : 12 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|3 : in 25 races this trend has been followed by 20 winners (80%)|
|3 : in 5 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (80%)|
|In 8 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Goodwood;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 2 occasions (25%).|
|*as at August 2nd 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Escobar 9.4849||2. Seniority 8.3393||3. Mythical Madness 8.2184
Good luck !
1. Seniority 9/2JF
2. Poet’s Society 12/1
3. Original Choice 12/1
4. Cape Byron 12/1