Date : Friday 4th August 2017 at 3:00
Race : BetFred Mile
Type : Flat – Class 2 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 1m
Going : Soft
Formerly known as the Golden Mile.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
4 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
3 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
No winners were ridden by a claiming jockey.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
4 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (31%).
9 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (69%).
10 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (77%).
11 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had previously won at the course.
10 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
7/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 11th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 11 winners were aged 3yo-6yo.|
|1 : in 46 races this trend has been followed by 35 winners (76%)|
|1 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (86%)|
|2 : All of the previous 9 winners had an Official Rating in the range 94-106.|
|2 : in 98 races this trend has been followed by 67 winners (68%)|
|2 : in 17 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 11 winners (65%)|
|3 : 11 of the previous 13 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|3 : in 21 races this trend has been followed by 17 winners (81%)|
|3 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (75%)|
|In 6 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Goodwood;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 1 occasion (17%).|
|*as at August 3rd 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Master The World 6/1
2. Tony Curtis 14/1
3. Birchwood 16/1
4. Withernsea 12/1