Date : Thursday 21st June 2018 at 5:00
Race : Britannia Stakes
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap (3yo Colts & Geldings 0-105)
Course : Ascot
Distance : 1m
Going : Good to Firm
First run in 1928, this race attracts big fields and big priced winners.
In the last 24 runnings of this race;
6 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
3 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
2 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
16 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (67%).
8 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (33%).
21 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (91%).
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had previously won at the course.
14 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
100/30 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Co Favourites were 12th + 17th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1: 19 of the previous 21 winners had not raced from stalls 7-14.|
|1 : in 38 races this trend has been followed by 22 winners (58%)|
|1 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (67%)
|2: 19 of the previous 24 winners had finished in the first 3 places last time out.|
|2 : in 24 races this trend has been followed by 16 winners (67%)|
|2 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (43%)
|In 19 Class 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Ascot;|
|4 winners have followed all of the trends (21%).|
|*as at June 14th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Corrosive 6.8826||2. Ventura Knight 6.5639||3. Bond Street 6.3535|
Good luck !!