Date : Thursday 22nd June 2017 at 5:00
Race : Britannia Stakes
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap (3yo Colts & Geldings 0-105)
Course : Ascot
Distance : 1m
Going : Good to Firm
First run in 1928, this race attracts big fields and big priced winners.
In the last 23 runnings of this race;
6 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
3 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
2 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
16 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (70%).
7 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (30%).
21 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (91%).
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
1 winner had previously won at the course.
13 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
100/30 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Co Favourites were 12th + 17th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1: 18 of the previous 20 winners had not raced from stalls 7-14.|
|1 : in 29 races this trend has been followed by 15 winners (52%)|
|1 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (57%)
|2: 19 of the previous 23 winners had finished in the first 3 places last time out.|
|2 : in 18 races this trend has been followed by 12 winners (67%)|
|2 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (50%)
|In 14 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Ascot;|
|4 winners have followed all of the trends (29%).|
|*as at June 21st 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !!
1. Bless Him 25/1
2. Ronald R 16/1
3. Tricorn 14/1
4. Indian Daddy 25/1