Bunbury Cup

NewmarketDate : Saturday 14th July 2018 at 1:40
Race : Bunbury Cup
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap (3yo+)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 7f (July course)
Going : Good to Firm

This race is held in honour of Sir Charles Bunbury who was a Senior Steward of the Jockey Club.

In the last 14 runnings of this race;
2 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
12 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
2 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
10 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (71%).
4 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (29%).
7 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (50%).
13 winners had already won over the same distance.
7 winners had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/1 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Posn 16th Won 9th 13th 9th 12th 19th Won 2nd 11th
SP 4/1 6/1j1 7/2 4/1 13/2 6/1 13/2 4/1 3/1 4/1
Ran 18 2015 17 13 19 15 20 19 19 18
1 the other Joint Favourite was 9th.

There are 4 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…

1 : 12 of the previous 14 winners had carried a weight of 9-0 or more (heavier).
1 : in 10 races this trend has been followed by 6 winners (60%)
1 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (50%)
2 : All of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating in the range 93-105.
2 : in 115 races this trend has been followed by 79 winners (69%)
2 : in 20 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 13 winners (65%)
3 : 13 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race over the same distance.
3 : in 24 races this trend has been followed by 19 winners (79%)
3 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (56%)
4 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap.
4 : in 9 races this trend has been followed by 7 winners (78%)
4 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (100%)
In 5 Class 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Newmarket on the July course;
The winner followed all of the trends on 2 occasions (40%).
*as at July 9th 2018

Final Declarations :

Apologies – analysed wrong race

Good luck !

Result
1. Burnt sugar 7/1
2.(DH) Shady McCoy 25/1
2.(DH) Spanish City 7/1
4. Cardsharp 20/1
18 ran