Date : Saturday 14th July 2018 at 1:40
Race : Bunbury Cup
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap (3yo+)
Course : Newmarket
Distance : 7f (July course)
Going : Good to Firm
This race is held in honour of Sir Charles Bunbury who was a Senior Steward of the Jockey Club.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
2 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
12 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
2 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
10 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (71%).
4 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (29%).
7 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (50%).
13 winners had already won over the same distance.
7 winners had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
25/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/1 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 9th.
There are 4 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1 : 12 of the previous 14 winners had carried a weight of 9-0 or more (heavier).|
|1 : in 10 races this trend has been followed by 6 winners (60%)|
|1 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (50%)|
|2 : All of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating in the range 93-105.|
|2 : in 115 races this trend has been followed by 79 winners (69%)|
|2 : in 20 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 13 winners (65%)|
|3 : 13 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race over the same distance.|
|3 : in 24 races this trend has been followed by 19 winners (79%)|
|3 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (56%)|
|4 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap.|
|4 : in 9 races this trend has been followed by 7 winners (78%)|
|4 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (100%)|
|In 5 Class 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Newmarket on the July course;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 2 occasions (40%).|
|*as at July 9th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Apologies – analysed wrong race|
Good luck !
1. Burnt sugar 7/1
2.(DH) Shady McCoy 25/1
2.(DH) Spanish City 7/1
4. Cardsharp 20/1