Date : Saturday 7th October 2017 at 3:35
Race : Challenge Cup
Type : Flat – Class 1 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Ascot
Distance : 7f
Going : Good to Soft
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won.
11 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
7 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
No winner was the top rated horse.
7 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (62%).
6 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (38%).
9 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (54%).
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winner had previously won at the course.
6 winners had already won on the going.
50/1 has been the highest winning SP.
9/2 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
There are 4 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 13 winners were aged 3yo-6yo.|
|1 : in 51 races this trend has been followed by 39 winners (76%)|
|1 : in 11 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 11 winners (100%)|
|2: 9 of the previous 10 winners had an Official Rating in the range 99-105.|
|2 : in 103 races this trend has been followed by 70 winners (68%)|
|2 : in 18 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 12 winners (67%)|
|3: 9 of the previous 10 winners had an Offical Rating 2lbs-10lbs below the top rated horse.|
|3 : in 14 races this trend has been followed by 7 winners (50%)|
|3 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 0 winners (0%)|
|4: All of the previous 11 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.|
|4 : in 8 races this trend has been followed by 6 winners (75%)|
|4 : in 1 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (100%)|
|In 17 Class 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Ascot;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 4 occasions (24%).|
|*as at October 2nd 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Accidental Agent 16/1
2. Lord Glitters 20/1
3. Raising Sand 16/1
4. Makzeem 7/1