Challenge Cup

AscotDate : Saturday 7th October 2017 at 3:35
Race : Challenge Cup
Type : Flat – Class 1 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Ascot
Distance : 7f
Going : Good to Soft

In the last 13 runnings of this race;
4 favourites have won.
11 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
7 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
No winner was the top rated horse.
7 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (62%).
6 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (38%).
9 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (54%).
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winner had previously won at the course.
6 winners had already won on the going.
50/1 has been the highest winning SP.
9/2 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Posn Won Won 13th 14th 4th 2nd Won 28th 2nd
8th
SP 11/2 9/2 6/1 7/2 5/1 11/2 7/1 7/1 9/1 4/1
Ran 18 17 15 17 14 16 28 28 29 23

There are 4 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…

1 : All of the previous 13 winners were aged 3yo-6yo.
1 : in 51 races this trend has been followed by 39 winners (76%)
1 : in 11 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 11 winners (100%)
2: 9 of the previous 10 winners had an Official Rating in the range 99-105.
2 : in 103 races this trend has been followed by 70 winners (68%)
2 : in 18 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 12 winners (67%)
3: 9 of the previous 10 winners had an Offical Rating 2lbs-10lbs below the top rated horse.
3 : in 14 races this trend has been followed by 7 winners (50%)
3 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 0 winners (0%)
4: All of the previous 11 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
4 : in 8 races this trend has been followed by 6 winners (75%)
4 : in 1 race over the distance, this trend has been followed by 1 winner (100%)
In 17 Class 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Ascot;
The winner followed all of the trends on 4 occasions (24%).
*as at October 2nd 2017

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Accidental Agent 16/1
2. Lord Glitters 20/1
3. Raising Sand 16/1
4. Makzeem 7/1
18 ran