Date : Wednesday 10th May 2017 at 3:35
Race : Chester Cup
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap (4yo+)
Course : Chester
Distance : 2m 2f 140y
Going : Good
Established in 1824 it was originally a limited handicap and called the Tradesmen’s Plate. In 1874 it was renamed to the Chester Trades’ Cup and then in 1884 to the Chester Cup.
In the last 23 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
1 top rated horse has won.
14 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
No winners were ridden by a claiming jockey.
8 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (35%).
15 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (65%).
13 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (54%).
4 winners had already won over the same distance.
5 winners had previously won at the course.
13 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
2/1 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 7th. 2 the other Co Favourites were 5th + 11th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1: All of the previous 10 winners carried a weight in the range 8st9lbs – 9st4lbs.|
|1 : in 6 races this trend has been followed by 5 winners (83%)|
|1 : this trend has not yet been noted over this distance
|2: None of the previous 14 winners had raced from stalls 6-10.|
|2 : in 26 races this trend has been followed by 13 winners (50%)|
|2 : in 2 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (100%)
|3: All of the previous 10 winners had an Official Rating in the range 93-99.|
|3 : in 87 races this trend has been followed by 60 winners (69%)|
|3 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
|In 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Chester;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 2 occasions (100%).|
|*as at May 8th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Montaly 16/1
2. Yorkidding 9/1
3. Fun Mac 25/1
4. Who Dares Wins 5/1