Date : Saturday 2nd June 2018 at 3:45
Race : Epsom “Dash”
Type : Flat – Heritage Class 2 Handicap (3yo+)
Course : Epsom Downs
Distance : 5f
Going : Good
Know as “the dash” because it is the fastest 5f furlong sprint in Europe, possibly the world, due to it being downhill all the way.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
1 favourite has won.
9 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
1 winner had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
8 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (62%).
6 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (38%).
11 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (85%).
14 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
13 winners had already won on the going.
50/1 has been the highest winning SP.
5/1 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 14th. 2 the other Joint Favourite was 19th.
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1: 11 of the previous 14 winners raced from stalls 8-19.|
|1 : in 37 races this trend has been followed by 21 winners (57%)|
|1 : in 5 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (40%)
|2: 12 of the previous 14 winners had finished in the first 6 places last time out.|
|2 : in 23 races this trend has been followed by 15 winners (65%)|
|2 : in 5 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (40%)
|3: 12 of the previous 14 winners had already won a race on the same going.|
|3 : in 10 races this trend has been followed by 8 winners (80%)|
|3 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (100%)
|In 3 Class 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Epsom Downs;|
|No winners have followed all of the trends (0%).|
|*as at May 27th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Caspian Prince 9.6207||2. Dke Of Firenze 9.3126||3. Dark Shot 9.1237|
Good luck !!
1. Tanasoq 12/1
2. Pettochside 33/1
3. Just That Lord 16/1
4. Blue De Vega 8/1