Date : Saturday 10th September 2016 at 2:35
Race : Portland Handicap
Type : Flat – Class 2 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Doncaster
Distance : 5f 140y
Going : Good
This race was established in 1855 and for a while was known as the Portland Plate. Originally raced around a left hand bend, the course was changed to a straight track later on.
In the last 12 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
3 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys.
9 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winner had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
20/1 has been the highest winning SP.
3/1 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other joint favourite was 16th 2 the other joint favourite was 22nd
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1 : 8 of the previous 9 winners were aged 4yo or 5yo.|
|1 : in 37 races this trend has been followed by 28 winners (76%)|
|2: All of the previous 12 winners had an SP of 20/1 or shorter.|
|2 : in 6 races this trend has been followed by 3 winners (50%)|
|3: 11 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating in the range 93-101.|
|3 : in 78 races this trend has been followed by 55 winners (71%)|
|*as at September 9th 2016|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Captain Colby 6/1J
2. Humidor 20/1
3. Harry Hurricane 10/1
4. Double Up 8/1