Portland Handicap

DoncasterDate : Saturday 10th September 2016 at 2:35
Race : Portland Handicap
Type : Flat – Class 2 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Doncaster
Distance : 5f 140y
Going : Good

This race was established in 1855 and for a while was known as the Portland Plate. Originally raced around a left hand bend, the course was changed to a straight track later on.

In the last 12 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
3 winners were ridden by claiming jockeys.
9 winners had already won a race at the same level or better.
10 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winner had previously won at the course.
8 winners had already won on the going.
20/1 has been the highest winning SP.
3/1 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Posn 4th Won 2nd 6th 5th Won 16th 7th
17th 3rd
SP 8/1J1 3/1 11/2 4/1 11/2 4/1 7/1J2 17/2 6/1 5/1
Ran 20 20 21 20 21 22 22 21 21 19
1 the other joint favourite was 16th 2 the other joint favourite was 22nd

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…

1 : 8 of the previous 9 winners were aged 4yo or 5yo.
1 : in 37 races this trend has been followed by 28 winners (76%)
2: All of the previous 12 winners had an SP of 20/1 or shorter.
2 : in 6 races this trend has been followed by 3 winners (50%)
3: 11 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating in the range 93-101.
3 : in 78 races this trend has been followed by 55 winners (71%)
*as at September 9th 2016

Final Declarations :

Good luck !

Result
1. Captain Colby 6/1J
2. Humidor 20/1
3. Harry Hurricane 10/1
4. Double Up 8/1
20 ran