Date : Wednesday 21st June 2017 at 5:00
Race : Royal Hunt Cup
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap (3yo+)
Course : Ascot
Distance : 1m
Going : Good to Firm
This race was established in 1843 and is one of 3 ever present trophy races at this meeting where the trophy awarded to the winning connections can be kept. The other 2 are the Gold Cup and the Queen’s Vase.
In the last 23 runnings of this race;
2 favourites have won.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
No winners were the top rated horse has won.
14 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (61%).
9 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (39%).
17 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (74%).
18 winners had already won over the same distance.
6 winners had previously won at the course.
13 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/1 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Co Favourite were 18th + 22nd
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1: 19 of the previous 23 winners had not raced from stalls 7-22.|
|1 : in 28 races this trend has been followed by 14 winners (50%)|
|1 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (50%)
|2: All of the previous 14 winners had an Official Rating in the range 93-102.|
|2 : in 89 races this trend has been followed by 62 winners (70%)|
|2 : in 16 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 10 winners (63%)
|3: 21 of the previous 23 winners were rated 7lbs or more than the top rated horse.|
|3 : in 11 races this trend has been followed by 5 winners (45%)|
|3 : in 5 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (60%)
|In 13 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Ascot;|
|3 winners have followed all of the trends (23%).|
|*as at June 20th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !!