Royal Hunt Cup

Royal Ascot

Date : Wednesday 20th June 2018 at 5:00
Race : Royal Hunt Cup
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap (3yo+)
Course : Ascot
Distance : 1m
Going : Good to Firm

This race was established in 1843 and is one of 3 ever present trophy races at this meeting where the trophy awarded to the winning connections can be kept. The other 2 are the Gold Cup and the Queen’s Vase.

In the last 24 runnings of this race;
2 favourites have won.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
No winners were the top rated horse.
13 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (54%).
11 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (46%).
17 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (71%).
18 winners had already won over the same distance.
6 winners had previously won at the course.
14 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
4/1 has been the lowest winning SP.

Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
Year 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Posn 15th 22nd 9th 8th 12th 8th 2nd 21st Won 5th
SP 13/2 13/2 7/1 7/2 10/1C1 9/2 7/1 8/1 4/1 13/8
Ran 29 28 30 28 28 30 28 29 25 29
1 the other Co Favourite were 18th + 22nd

There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…

1: 20 of the previous 24 winners had not raced from stalls 7-22.
1 : in 38 races this trend has been followed by 22 winners (58%)
1 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 6 winners (67%)
2: All of the previous 15 winners had an Official Rating in the range 93-102.
2 : in 111 races this trend has been followed by 75 winners (68%)
2 : in 20 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 14 winners (70%)
3: 22 of the previous 24 winners were rated 7lbs or more than the top rated horse.
3 : in 16 races this trend has been followed by 9 winners (56%)
3 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 5 winners (71%)
In 19 Class 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Ascot;
4 winners have followed all of the trends (21%).
*as at June 14th 2018

Final Declarations :

Richie’s Ratings;
Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.
1. Afaak 7.9327 2. Zhui Feng 7.9199 3. Gabrial 7.4968

Good luck !!

Result
1. Settle For Bay 16/1
2. Afaak 10/1
3. Circus Couture 100/1
4. What’s The Story 33/1
30 ran