Date : Saturday 17th June 2017 at 3:10
Race : Scottish Sprint Cup
Type : Flat – Class 2 Heritage Handicap (4yo+)
Course : Musselburgh
Distance : 5f
Going : Good to Firm
One of the highlights of the Scottish flat racing season, this race has a guaranteed £100,000 in prize money which attracts trainers and their high level handicap sprinters in the North.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
3 favourites have won, 1 was a joint favourite.
9 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
4 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey.
2 winners were the top rated horse.
9 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (69%).
4 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (31%).
9 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (69%).
12 winners had already won over the same distance.
3 winners had previously won at the course.
11 winners had already won on the going.
50/1 has been the highest winning SP.
11/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other JF was 4th 2 the other JF was 10th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1: All of the previous 11 winners were aged 4yo-6yo.|
|1 : in 42 races this trend has been followed by 33 winners (79%)|
|1 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
|2: 8 of the previous 9 winners had an Official Rating in the range 93-104.|
|2 : in 89 races this trend has been followed by 62 winners (70%)|
|2 : in 4 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (75%)
|3: 8 of the previous 9 winners had already won a race on the same going.|
|3 : in 7 races this trend has been followed by 6 winners (86%)|
|3 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
|In 3 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Musselburgh;|
|1 winner has followed all of the trends (34%).|
|*as at June 6th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !!
1. Line Of Reason 11/1
2. Harry Hurricane 9/1
3. Kimberella 9/1
4. Caspian Prince 16/1