Date : Saturday 5th August 2017 at 3:35
Race : Stewards Cup
Type : Flat – Class 2 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 6f
Going : Soft
This race came about in the 1830’s when the senior steward at Goodwood presented a annual cup to any race of his choosing over a distance up to 1½ miles. Lord George Bentinck then decided upon a race over 6 furlongs in 1839 with the first running of the Stewards Cup as we know it today, being run in 1840.
In the last 13 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite and 1 was a co-favourite.
9 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
6 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
8 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (62%).
5 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (38%).
9 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (69%).
19 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winners had previously won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
40/1 has been the highest winning SP.
9/2 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 3rd
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1 : All of the previous 12 winners were aged 3yo-6yo.|
|1 : in 47 races this trend has been followed by 36 winners (77%)|
|1 : in 7 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (43%)|
|2 : 11 of the previous 12 winners had an Official Rating in the range 95-104.|
|2 : in 99 races this trend has been followed by 68 winners (69%)|
|2 : in 23 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 19 winners (83%)|
|3 : All of the previous 13 winners had already won a race over the distance.|
|3 : in 22 races this trend has been followed by 18 winners (82%)|
|3 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 9 winners (100%)|
|In 6 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Goodwood;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 1 occasion (17%).|
|*as at August 4th 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !
1. Lancelot Du Lac 25/1
2. Aelous 16/1
3. Upstaging 25/1
4. Growl 7/1