Date : Saturday 4th August 2018 at 3:40
Race : Stewards Cup
Type : Flat – Class 2 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Goodwood
Distance : 6f
Going : Good to Firm
This race came about in the 1830’s when the senior steward at Goodwood presented a annual cup to any race of his choosing over a distance up to 1½ miles. Lord George Bentinck then decided upon a race over 6 furlongs in 1839 with the first running of the Stewards Cup as we know it today, being run in 1840.
In the last 14 runnings of this race;
5 favourites have won, 1 was joint favourite and 1 was a co-favourite.
10 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
6 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race in the same season.
1 winner was ridden by a claiming jockey.
1 winner was the top rated horse.
9 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (64%).
5 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (36%).
9 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (64%).
14 winners had already won over the same distance.
2 winners had previously won at the course.
9 winners had already won on the going.
40/1 has been the highest winning SP.
9/2 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 3rd
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1 : 12 of the previous 13 winners had an Official Rating in the range 95-104.|
|1 : in 118 races this trend has been followed by 82 winners (69%)|
|1 : in 27 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 22 winners (81%)|
|2 : 8 of the previous 10 winners had already won a race at the same level.|
|2 : in 9 races this trend has been followed by 6 winners (67%)|
|2 : in 6 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (67%)|
|3 : All of the previous 14 winners had already won a race over the distance.|
|3 : in 26 races this trend has been followed by 21 winners (81%)|
|3 : in 10 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 10 winners (100%)|
|In 8 Class 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Goodwood;|
|The winner followed all of the trends on 2 occasions (25%).|
|*as at August 3rd 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Spring Loaded 9.5246||2. George Bowen 9.3817||3. Foxtrot Lady 8.7552|
Good luck !
1. Gifted Master 20/1
2. Justanotherbottle 25/1
3. Growl 9/1
4. Solar Flair 25/1