Date : Saturday 24th June 2017 at 5:00
Race : Wokingham Stakes
Type : Flat – Class 2 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Ascot
Distance : 6f
Going : Good to Firm
Named after the market town near to Ascot – Wokingham
In the last 24 runnings of this race (includes 2003’s dead heat);
4 favourites have won.
10 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
4 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey.
No winners were the top rated horse.
12 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (50%).
12 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (50%).
19 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (79%).
20 winners had already won over the same distance.
7 winners had previously won at the course.
13 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
9/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 15th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1: 17 of the previous 19 winners were aged 4yo-5yo.|
|1 : in 43 races this trend has been followed by 33 winners (77%)|
|1 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (67%)
|2: 16 of the previous 18 winners had an Official Rating in the range 95-106.|
|2 : in 92 races this trend has been followed by 64 winners (70%)|
|2 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 2 winners (67%)
|3: 17 of the previous 20 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.|
|3 : in 19 races this trend has been followed by 12 winners (63%)|
|3 : this trend has not yet been noted over the distance
|In 15 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Ascot;|
|4 winners have followed all of the trends (27%).|
|*as at June 23rd 2017|
Final Declarations :
Good luck !!
1. Out Do 25/1
2. Steady Pace 16/1
3. Projection 15/2
4. Polybius 33/1