Date : Saturday 23rd June 2018 at 5:00
Race : Wokingham Stakes
Type : Flat – Class 2 (3yo+) Heritage Handicap
Course : Ascot
Distance : 6f
Going : Good to Firm
Named after the market town near to Ascot – Wokingham
In the last 25 runnings of this race (includes 2003’s dead heat);
4 favourites have won.
10 winners had already won a Class 2 handicap race.
4 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey.
No winners were the top rated horse.
12 winners raced from the top (high) half of the stalls draw (48%).
13 winners raced from the bottom (low) half of the stalls draw (52%).
19 winners had finished in the first 5 places in their previous race (76%).
21 winners had already won over the same distance.
7 winners had previously won at the course.
14 winners had already won on the going.
33/1 has been the highest winning SP.
9/4 has been the lowest winning SP.
|Performance of the last 10 Favourites (prior to this race)
|1 the other Joint Favourite was 15th
There are 3 trends that I have found which are shown below with specific statistics* for Class 2 Heritage Handicap races that I have analysed…
|1: 17 of the previous 20 winners were aged 4yo-5yo.|
|1 : in 54 races this trend has been followed by 41 winners (76%)|
|1 : in 9 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 4 winners (44%)
|2: 17 of the previous 19 winners had an Official Rating in the range 95-106.|
|2 : in 111 races this trend has been followed by 75 winners (68%)|
|2 : in 25 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 20 winners (80%)
|3: 19 of the previous 22 winners had finished in the first 4 places last time out.|
|3 : in 24 races this trend has been followed by 16 winners (67%)|
|3 : in 3 races over the distance, this trend has been followed by 3 winners (100%)
|In 19 Class 2 Heritage Handicap races analysed at Ascot;|
|4 winners have followed all of the trends (21%).|
|*as at June 14th 2018|
Final Declarations :
|Below are my ratings for all runners declared in this race. They are based on the trends as well as past performances of the horse. These are unproven and they are intended for guidance only.|
|1. Ice Age 8.3100||2. Growl 8.1164||3. Dreamfield 8.0366|
Good luck !!
1. Bacchus 33/1
2. Dreamfield 2/1F
3. Major Jumbo 22/1
4. Tis Marvellous 20/1